Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 2

Date: 3 October 2024, Thursday

Location: Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium (Piraeus)

Referee: Sylwestrzak D. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Variety 2
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Australia	Stan Sport
Canada	DAZN Canada
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Croatia	Arena Sport 8
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
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Finland	Elisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 6
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India	Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 5
Indonesia	beIN Connect
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Norway	Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 1
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
South-africa	Supersport Maximo 1 Champions
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 5, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 9, Blue Sport 9
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 7
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 7
Usa	Paramount+
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Disney+, JioTV app, VIX App


	Olympiacos Piraeus		Braga

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.4	3.1
	2.2	3.5	3.1
	2.28	3.55	3.05
	2.29	3.65	3.14
	2.24	3.53	3.12	Watch
	2.25	3.5	3.1
	2.28	3.75	3.23
	2.3	3.6	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2)	3.56 ↑ (3.3)	3.12 ↓ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olympiacos Piraeus
42.4%

Draw
26.9%

Braga
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

27.5%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

29%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olympiacos Piraeus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Braga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympiacos Piraeus than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Olympiacos Piraeus, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braga than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	26.7%	23.3%

Olympiacos Piraeus - Braga Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Olympiacos will win (votes: 15 - 50%). Braga will win (votes: 7 - 23.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Olympiacos: 32.1% – 67.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
88. Tzolakis K. (G) 20. Costinha 45. Retsos P. (C) 16. Carmo D. 3. Ortega F. 32. Hezze S. 96. Mouzakitis C. 23. Rodinei 22. Chiquinho 10. Martins G. 9. El Kaabi A.	1. Matheus (G) 13. Ferreira J. 4. Niakate S. 26. Arrey-Mbi B. 19. Marin A. 6. Vitor Carvalho 10. Horta A. 7. Bruma 77. Martinez G. 90. Fernandez Jaen R. 21. Horta R. (C)
Substitutes
4. Biancone G. 14. Garcia D. 84. Kostoulas C. 19. Masouras G. 74. Ntoi A. 27. Oliveira S. 1. Paschalakis A. (G) 5. Pirola L. 8. Stamenic M. 11. Velde K. 18. Willian 17. Yaremchuk R.	9. El Ouazzani A. 11. Fernandes R. 20. Gharbi I. 2. Gomez V. 29. Gorby 27. Guitane R. 91. Hornicek L. (G) 33. Marques J. 53. Noro J. 25. Ribeiro Y. 12. Sa T. (G) 80. Vasconcelos
Coaches
Mendilibar J. L.	Carvalhal C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
43', Retsos P. 🟨,
45', 1 - 0, El Kaabi A. ⚽, Martins G. (A),
45+3', Vitor Carvalho 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Martinez G. ↓, Gharbi I. ↑,
46', Vitor Carvalho ↓, Gorby ↑,
53', 2 - 0, Hezze S. ⚽,
58', Chiquinho ↓, Willian ↑,
59', 3 - 0, El Kaabi A. ⚽, Rodinei (A),
63', Hezze S. 🟨,
67', Fernandez Jaen R. ↓, El Ouazzani A. ↑,
68', Horta A. ↓, Gomez V. ↑,
68', Marin A. ↓, Fernandes R. ↑,
69', Ferreira J. 🟨,
73', Retsos P. ↓, Ntoi A. ↑,
73', Martins G. ↓, Oliveira S. ↑,
80', Carmo D. ↓, Pirola L. ↑,
80', Rodinei ↓, Masouras G. ↑,
88', Ortega F. 🟨,

Preview

Recent matches Olympiacos is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Braga is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Olympiacos will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Olympiacos: Martins G. (Hamstring Injury) Masouras G. (Hamstring Injury) Pirola L. (Knock)

There will not play in Braga: Moutinho J. (Calf Injury) Robson Bambu (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Braga: Zalazar R. (Thigh Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Olympiacos won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Olympiacos Piraeus
Greek Super League
29.09.24	Olympiacos Piraeus - Atromitos Athens	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
26.09.24	Lyon - Olympiacos Piraeus	2:0 ✺
Greek Super League
21.09.24	Aris - Olympiacos Piraeus	2:1 ✺
15.09.24	Olympiacos Piraeus - Panetolikos	0:0 ✺
31.08.24	Lamia - Olympiacos Piraeus	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLLTW
- SC Braga
Liga Portugal
29.09.24	Braga - Rio Ave	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
26.09.24	Braga - Maccabi Tel Aviv	2:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
20.09.24	Nacional - Braga	0:3 ✺
15.09.24	Braga - Vitoria Guimarães	0:2 ✺
01.09.24	Gil Vicente - Braga	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
26.07.12	Braga - Olympiacos Piraeus	1:1

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