Match Info

Date: 27 February 2020, Thursday


	Malmö		Wolfsburg

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.6	1.95
	3.8	3.6	1.95
	3.9	3.6	1.98
	3.71	3.48	1.91
	3.91	3.63	1.97
	3.75	3.6	1.95
	3.86	3.72	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.81 ↑ (3.24)	3.6 ↑ (3.44)	1.96 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Malmö
25%

Draw
26.4%

Wolfsburg
48.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

27.7%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.2%

20.9%

56.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Malmö has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Wolfsburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wolfsburg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wolfsburg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22%	13.6%	64.4%

Malmö - Wolfsburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 59 users predict this event. Malmö will win (votes: 13 - 22%). Wolfsburg will win (votes: 38 - 64.4%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 13.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wolfsburg: 52.2% – 76.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Malmö FF
UEFA Europa League
20.02.20	Wolfsburg - Malmö	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
15.02.20	Malmö - Jönköpings Södra	3:2 ✺
Svenska Cupen
15.02.20	Malmö - Syrianska	8:0 ✺
Club Friendly
11.02.20	Malmö - Varbergs BoIS	1:3 ✺
06.02.20	Sparta Prague - Malmö	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWWLW
- VfL Wolfsburg
German Bundesliga
23.02.20	Wolfsburg - Mainz	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
20.02.20	Wolfsburg - Malmö	2:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
15.02.20	Hoffenheim - Wolfsburg	2:3 ✺
08.02.20	Wolfsburg - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:1 ✺
02.02.20	Paderborn - Wolfsburg	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
20.02.20	Wolfsburg - Malmö	2:1
Club Friendly
04.08.16	Malmö - Wolfsburg	0:1

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