Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 2

Date: 31 August 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Volkswagen Arena (Wolfsburg) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Storks S. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 2, New World Sport 7, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, ZAP
Albania	15:30	Tring Sport 1
Angola	14:30	Z Sports 1
Argentina	10:30	Disney+
Australia	23:30	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	15:30	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Canada	09:30	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	09:30	Disney+
China	21:30	Migu
Colombia	08:30	Disney+
Croatia	15:30	SportKlub 1
Czech Republic	15:30	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	15:30	Viaplay
Finland	16:30	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
France	15:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Free
Germany	15:30	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW
Greece	16:30	Nova Sports 2
Hong Kong	21:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	15:30	Arena 4
Iceland	13:30	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
Indonesia	20:30	beIN Connect
Israel	16:30	Sport 4
Italy	15:30	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255
Japan	22:30	AbemaTV, DAZN Japan
Kosovo	15:30	Arena Premium 3
Laos	20:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	21:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
Malta	15:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 1
Mexico	07:30	Fox Sports, Sky Sport
Mongolia	21:30	Premier Sports 4
Netherlands	15:30	Viaplay
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	15:30	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Peru	08:30	Disney+
Philippines	21:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	15:30	Eleven Sports 3, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	14:30	DAZN 3
Romania	16:30	Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
Russia	16:30	Okko Sport
Saudi Arabia	16:30	Shahid
Serbia	15:30	Arena Premium 3, SportKlub 1
Singapore	21:30	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	15:30	Sport TV2, Voyo
South America	—	ESPN 5 South
South Korea	22:30	Coupang Play
Spain	15:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	15:30	Viaplay, V Sport Extra
Switzerland	15:30	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	20:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	16:30	beIN Connect, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
United Kingdom	14:30	Amazon Prime Video
Uruguay	10:30	Disney+
Usa	09:30	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	09:30	Disney+
Vietnam	20:30	TV 360
International	13:30	Onefootball


	Wolfsburg		Mainz

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.6	3.4	Watch
	2.05	3.6	3.4
	2.12	3.55	3.35	Watch
	2.16	3.68	3.53
	1.50	4.21	6.18	Watch
	2.05	3.4	3.4	Watch
	2.16	3.71	3.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.28)	3.68 ↑ (3.61)	3.83 ↑ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wolfsburg
48.2%

Draw
26.4%

Mainz
25.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42%

26.5%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

27%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wolfsburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wolfsburg's performance.

Mainz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mainz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wolfsburg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mainz than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.9%	10.9%	15.2%

Wolfsburg - Mainz Predictions

Users Predictions: 43 users predict this event. Wolfsburg will win (votes: 32 - 74.4%). Mainz will win (votes: 7 - 16.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 9.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wolfsburg: 61.4% – 87.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Wolfsburg (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Wolfsburg will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 19 Selected Experts predict this event. Wolfsburg (votes: 17 - 89.5%). Mainz (votes: 1 - 5.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Grabara K. (G) 2. Fischer K. 15. Jenz M. 4. Koulierakis K. 25. Zehnter A. 27. Arnold M. (C) 5. Vini Souza 7. Skov Olsen A. 10. Majer L. 39. Wimmer P. 17. Pejcinovic D.	27. Zentner R. (G) 21. da Costa D. 16. Bell S. 31. Kohr D. 19. Caci A. 6. Sano K. 10. Amiri N. (C) 2. Mwene P. 7. Lee Jae-Sung 9. Nordin A. 44. Weiper N.
Substitutes
9. Amoura M. 18. Cerny V. 8. Dardai B. 31. Gerhardt Y. 21. Maehle J. 29. Muller M. (G) 33. Odogu D. 32. Svanberg M. 23. Wind J.	37. Bobzien B. 25. Hanche-Olsen A. 24. Kawasaki S. 5. Leitsch M. 15. Maloney L. 1. Riess L. (G) 11. Sieb A. 22. Veratschnig N. 30. Widmer S.
Coaches
Simonis P.	Henriksen B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Zehnter A. ⚽, Majer L. (A),
40', da Costa D. 🟨,
42', Zentner R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Bell S. ↓, Hanche-Olsen A. ↑,
46', Skov Olsen A. ↓, Cerny V. ↑,
49', Hanche-Olsen A. 🟨,
60', Wimmer P. 🟨,
69', Weiper N. ↓, Sieb A. ↑,
69', Mwene P. ↓, Veratschnig N. ↑,
70', Pejcinovic D. ↓, Amoura M. ↑,
70', Majer L. ↓, Svanberg M. ↑,
82', Nordin A. ↓, Bobzien B. ↑,
86', Caci A. 🟨,
89', 1 - 1, Amiri N. (Pen),
90+6', Zehnter A. ↓, Maehle J. ↑,
90+6', Vini Souza ↓, Wind J. ↑,
90+9', Svanberg M. 🟨,
90+10', Svanberg M. 🟨,
90+11', Sieb A. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wolfsburg won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Wolfsburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Wolfsburg has had a series of away games.

Wolfsburg will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Wolfsburg: Lindstrom J. (Groin Injury) Paredes K. (Foot Injury) Rogerio (Knee Injury) Vavro D. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Mainz: Dal M. (Knee Injury) Gleiber D. (Thigh Injury) Hollerbach B. (Thigh Injury) Nebel P. (Red Card)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wolfsburg won 8 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 35:21. (average 1.8:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Wolfsburg won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 24:11. (average 2.4:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfL Wolfsburg
German Bundesliga
23.08.25	Heidenheim - Wolfsburg	1:3 ✺
German DFB Pokal
16.08.25	Hemelingen - Wolfsburg	0:9 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Wolfsburg	2:1 ✺
09.08.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Wolfsburg	2:0 ✺
02.08.25	Feyenoord - Wolfsburg	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWLLL
- Mainz 05
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.08.25	Mainz - Rosenborg	4:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
24.08.25	Mainz - Köln	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
21.08.25	Rosenborg - Mainz	2:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
18.08.25	Dynamo Dresden - Mainz	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Mainz - Strasbourg	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
19.04.25	Mainz - Wolfsburg	2:2
08.12.24	Wolfsburg - Mainz	4:3
18.05.24	Wolfsburg - Mainz	1:3
13.01.24	Mainz - Wolfsburg	1:1
30.04.23	Wolfsburg - Mainz	3:0
05.11.22	Mainz - Wolfsburg	0:3
22.04.22	Wolfsburg - Mainz	5:0

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