Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 2

Date: 31 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Volkswagen Arena (Wolfsburg)

Referee: Storks S. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 2, New World Sport 7, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, ZAP
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World	Onefootball


	Wolfsburg		Mainz

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.6	3.4	Watch
	2.05	3.6	3.4
	2.12	3.55	3.35	Watch
	2.16	3.68	3.53
	1.50	4.21	6.18	Watch
	2.05	3.4	3.4	Watch
	2.16	3.71	3.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.28)	3.68 ↑ (3.61)	3.83 ↑ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wolfsburg
48.2%

Draw
26.4%

Mainz
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

26.5%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

27.6%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wolfsburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wolfsburg's performance.

Mainz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mainz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mainz than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.9%	10.9%	15.2%

Wolfsburg - Mainz Predictions

Users Predictions: 43 users predict this event. Wolfsburg will win (votes: 32 - 74.4%). Mainz will win (votes: 7 - 16.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 9.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wolfsburg: 61.4% – 87.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Wolfsburg (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Wolfsburg will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 19 Selected Experts predict this event. Wolfsburg (votes: 17 - 89.5%). Mainz (votes: 1 - 5.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Grabara K. (G) 2. Fischer K. 15. Jenz M. 4. Koulierakis K. 25. Zehnter A. 27. Arnold M. (C) 5. Vini Souza 7. Skov Olsen A. 10. Majer L. 39. Wimmer P. 17. Pejcinovic D.	27. Zentner R. (G) 21. da Costa D. 16. Bell S. 31. Kohr D. 19. Caci A. 6. Sano K. 10. Amiri N. (C) 2. Mwene P. 7. Lee Jae-Sung 9. Nordin A. 44. Weiper N.
Substitutes
9. Amoura M. 18. Cerny V. 8. Dardai B. 31. Gerhardt Y. 21. Maehle J. 29. Muller M. (G) 33. Odogu D. 32. Svanberg M. 23. Wind J.	37. Bobzien B. 25. Hanche-Olsen A. 24. Kawasaki S. 5. Leitsch M. 15. Maloney L. 1. Riess L. (G) 11. Sieb A. 22. Veratschnig N. 30. Widmer S.
Coaches
Simonis P.	Henriksen B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Zehnter A. ⚽, Majer L. (A),
40', da Costa D. 🟨,
42', Zentner R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Bell S. ↓, Hanche-Olsen A. ↑,
46', Skov Olsen A. ↓, Cerny V. ↑,
49', Hanche-Olsen A. 🟨,
60', Wimmer P. 🟨,
69', Weiper N. ↓, Sieb A. ↑,
69', Mwene P. ↓, Veratschnig N. ↑,
70', Pejcinovic D. ↓, Amoura M. ↑,
70', Majer L. ↓, Svanberg M. ↑,
82', Nordin A. ↓, Bobzien B. ↑,
86', Caci A. 🟨,
89', 1 - 1, Amiri N. (Pen),
90+6', Zehnter A. ↓, Maehle J. ↑,
90+6', Vini Souza ↓, Wind J. ↑,
90+9', Svanberg M. 🟨,
90+10', Svanberg M. 🟨,
90+11', Sieb A. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wolfsburg won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Wolfsburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Wolfsburg has had a series of away games.

Wolfsburg will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Wolfsburg: Lindstrom J. (Groin Injury) Paredes K. (Foot Injury) Rogerio (Knee Injury) Vavro D. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Mainz: Dal M. (Knee Injury) Gleiber D. (Thigh Injury) Hollerbach B. (Thigh Injury) Nebel P. (Red Card)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wolfsburg won 8 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 35:21. (average 1.8:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Wolfsburg won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 24:11. (average 2.4:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfL Wolfsburg
German Bundesliga
23.08.25	Heidenheim - Wolfsburg	1:3 ✺
German DFB Pokal
16.08.25	Hemelingen - Wolfsburg	0:9 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Wolfsburg	2:1 ✺
09.08.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Wolfsburg	2:0 ✺
02.08.25	Feyenoord - Wolfsburg	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWLLL
- Mainz 05
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.08.25	Mainz - Rosenborg	4:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
24.08.25	Mainz - Köln	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
21.08.25	Rosenborg - Mainz	2:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
18.08.25	Dynamo Dresden - Mainz	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Mainz - Strasbourg	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
19.04.25	Mainz - Wolfsburg	2:2
08.12.24	Wolfsburg - Mainz	4:3
18.05.24	Wolfsburg - Mainz	1:3
13.01.24	Mainz - Wolfsburg	1:1
30.04.23	Wolfsburg - Mainz	3:0
05.11.22	Mainz - Wolfsburg	0:3
22.04.22	Wolfsburg - Mainz	5:0

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