Match Info

BGL Ligue - Round 13

Date: 3 December 2025, Wednesday


	Mamer		Hostert

	1	X	2
	2.32	3.5	2.52
	2.45	3.63	2.58
	2.4	3.62	2.54	Watch
	2.34	3.56	2.47
	2.33	3.4	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.29)	3.54 ↓ (3.88)	2.51 ↓ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mamer
38.3%

Draw
25.6%

Hostert
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

23.7%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

22.8%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mamer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Hostert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mamer than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hostert than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Mamer - Hostert Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Schreiber M. (G) 30. Agnoly M. 19. Badji D. 8. Bahovic A. 4. Freire N. 11. Jager M. (C) 20. Mendes Y. 99. Rapaille L. 28. Schmit B. 10. Teles I. 6. Vialette H.	29. Gomes Y. (G) 67. Ahmeti D. 28. Almeida Borges B. 80. Altun S. 11. Bekkouche S. 31. Derbali R. 17. Fernandes D. 26. Leroux M. 15. Letievant A. 8. Maquart T. (C) 10. Meddour H.
Substitutes
54. Biagui Y. 5. Erragui R. 91. Fiorani A. 27. Maurice J. 97. Montout L. 9. Muric D. 1. Rao A. (G)	20. Baiverlin C. 22. Bernardy L. 25. Caufriez A. 19. Mendes E. 97. Quinol K. 99. Seligson F. (G) 21. Yans M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 1 - 0, Jager M. ⚽,
90+2', Almeida Borges B. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Recent form of Mamer has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Hostert has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Mamer may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mamer won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:6. (average 1.5:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Mamer won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:6. (average 1.5:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Mamer 32
Luxembourg National Division
30.11.25	Racing Luxembourg - Mamer	5:2 ✺
Luxembourg Cup
09.11.25	Mamer - Käerjéng 97	2:0 ✺
Luxembourg National Division
02.11.25	Mamer - Atert Bissen	1:4 ✺
26.10.25	Käerjéng 97 - Mamer	4:2 ✺
19.10.25	Mamer - Progrès Niedercorn	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLLL
- US Hostert
Luxembourg National Division
30.11.25	Hostert - Swift Hesperange	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Hostert - Mondorf-les-Bains	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Atert Bissen - Hostert	7:1 ✺
19.10.25	Hostert - F91 Dudelange	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Käerjéng 97 - Hostert	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 TWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Luxembourg Cup
28.10.22	Mamer - Hostert	2:5
Luxembourg National Division
26.05.22	Mamer - Hostert	1:1

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