Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie D - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 10 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Arena da Amazonia (Manaus)


	Manaus		Iguatu

	1	X	2
	1.77	3.1	4.33
	1.78	3.1	4.75
	1.98	2.96	3.93
	1.76	3.18	4.86	Watch
	1.65	3.2	4.75
	1.74	3.22	4.73
	1.78	3.1	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (2.17)	3.12 ↑ (3)	4.59 ↑ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manaus
51.1%

Draw
29.1%

Iguatu
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

30.5%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

29.3%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manaus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Manaus's performance.

Iguatu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Iguatu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manaus than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Manaus that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iguatu than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Iguatu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Manaus - Iguatu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Gabriel Recife ⚽,
13', 2 - 0, Joel ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
74', 2 - 1, Fernando Ceara ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 2, Uesles ⚽,

Preview

1st leg.

Iguatu is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Manaus will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manaus FC
Brazilian Serie D
04.08.24	Maranhão - Manaus	0:1 penalties ✺
27.07.24	Manaus - Maranhão	1:1 ✺
20.07.24	Manaus - Trem	3:1 ✺
13.07.24	Humaitá - Manaus	2:5 ✺
06.07.24	Manaus - Princesa do Solimões	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WTWWL
- AD Iguatu
Brazilian Serie D
03.08.24	Iguatu - Jacuipense	2:1 ✺
27.07.24	Jacuipense - Iguatu	0:0 ✺
21.07.24	Iguatu - Sousa	1:0 ✺
13.07.24	Santa Cruz de Natal - Iguatu	2:1 ✺
07.07.24	Atlético Cearense - Iguatu	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WTWLW

Manaus - Iguatu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide