Match Info

Serie A - Round 31

Date: 16 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia (Mirassol) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Arleu B. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Brazil	20:00	Globoplay, Premiere, SporTV
Ecuador	18:00	Canal del Futbol
Russia	02:00	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Turkey	02:00	Spor Smart 1
Usa	19:00	Fanatiz


	Mirassol		Internacional RS

	1	X	2
	2.01	3.50	3.50	Watch
	2.10	3.50	3.40
	2.12	3.40	3.25	Watch
	2.11	3.50	3.80
	2.12	3.62	3.36	Watch
	2.09	3.50	3.55
	2.16	3.56	3.36	Watch
	2.04	3.45	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.18)	3.5 ↑ (3.35)	3.46 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.75

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mirassol
45.4%

Draw
27.1%

Internacional RS
27.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.7%

27.8%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

27%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Internacional RS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Internacional RS than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Mirassol - Internacional RS Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Mirassol will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Internacional will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Walter (G) 32. Igor Formiga 34. Joao Victor (C) 3. Willian Machado 6. Reinaldo 25. Neto Moura 27. Denilson 7. Shaylon 33. Eduardo 95. Edson Carioca 30. Bruno Santos	23. Matheus Cunha (G) 15. Bruno Gomes 25. Mercado G. (C) 18. Juninho 35. Aguirre B. 5. Villagra R. 29. Thiago Maia 6. Matheus Bahia 28. Vitinho 26. Bernabei A. 9. Alerrandro
Substitutes
77. Alesson 9. Andre Luis 96. Carlos Eduardo 10. Chico Kim 20. Daniel Borges 17. Fernandinho 44. Gabriel Knesowitsch 5. Japa 2. Lucas Oliveira 90. Thomazella (G) 80. Wallisson 99. Ze Roberto	8. Bruno Henrique 30. Calebe 7. Carbonero J. 53. de Morais Francisco L. F. 17. Eliasson N. 49. Joao Bezerra 44. Joao Victor 22. Kauan Jesus (G) 27. Paulinho Paula 16. Ronaldo 4. Torres F. 41. Victor Gabriel
Coaches
Rafael Guanaes	Eduardo Baptista

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Matheus Cunha 🟥,
17', Bernabei A. ↓, Kauan Jesus ↑,
43', Vitinho 🟨,
45+5', Neto Moura 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Alerrandro ↓, Torres F. ↑,
46', Neto Moura ↓, Alesson ↑,
48', 1 - 0, Eduardo ⚽, Edson Carioca (A),
57', Bruno Gomes 🟨,
59', Juninho ↓, Joao Victor ↑,
60', Matheus Bahia ↓, Carbonero J. ↑,
61', Villagra R. 🟨,
68', Edson Carioca ↓, Fernandinho ↑,
68', Denilson ↓, Wallisson ↑,
74', Bruno Santos ↓, Andre Luis ↑,
77', Andre Luis 🟨,
79', Eduardo ↓, Chico Kim ↑,
81', Carbonero J. 🟨,
82', Thiago Maia ↓, Joao Bezerra ↑,
87', 2 - 0, Andre Luis ⚽, Fernandinho (A),
89', Mercado G. 🟨,
90+1', Kauan Jesus 🟨,
90+2', Reinaldo (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

An exciting matchup between two close rivals in the standings (ranked 15th and 17th in the Relegation - Serie B).

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Mirassol holding a narrow advantage.

Confirmed absences for Mirassol: Jose Aldo (Muscle Injury) Negueba (Knee Injury).

Confirmed absences for Internacional: Allex (Inactive) Kayky (Ankle Injury) Maripan G. (Inactive) Rochet S. (Lower Back Injury) Sanabria A. (Inactive).

Doubtful / questionable for Internacional: Alan Patrick (Injury).

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Mirassol has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:3 (averaging 2:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Mirassol against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Mirassol	32	9	10	13	37:45	-8	37
16	Internacional	32	8	11	13	36:40	-4	35

Last Results with these Odds

Mirassol - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 42.68%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mirassol
Brazilian Serie A
11.10.26	Bahia - Mirassol	1:0 ✺
07.10.26	Red Bull Bragantino - Mirassol	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Mirassol - Botafogo RJ	2:0 ✺
13.09.26	Mirassol - Vitória Salvador	2:2 ✺
06.09.26	Coritiba - Mirassol	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LTWTW
- Internacional RS
Brazilian Serie A
11.10.26	Grêmio - Internacional RS	1:1 ✺
07.10.26	Internacional RS - Corinthians	2:1 ✺
19.09.26	São Paulo - Internacional RS	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Chapecoense - Internacional RS	1:2 ✺
06.09.26	Internacional RS - Santos	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
19.04.26	Internacional RS - Mirassol	1:2
15.10.25	Mirassol - Internacional RS	3:1
18.05.25	Internacional RS - Mirassol	1:1

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