Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 28

Date: 15 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia (Mirassol)

Referee: Arleu B. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	K-Ball
Mexico	Fanatiz
Usa	Fanatiz


	Mirassol		Internacional RS

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.25	3.7	Watch
	2.12	3.2	3.45
	2.19	3.35	3.74
	2.06	3.34	3.65	Watch
	2.18	3.34	3.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (2.09)	3.3 ↑ (3.23)	3.61 ↑ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mirassol
44.6%

Draw
29%

Internacional RS
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

29%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

28.8%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mirassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Internacional RS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Internacional RS than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.5%	23.1%	15.4%

Mirassol - Internacional RS Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Mirassol will win (votes: 15 - 60%). Internacional will win (votes: 4 - 16%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 24%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mirassol: 40.8% – 79.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Mirassol (votes: 7 - 50%). Internacional (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Internacional (2.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Mirassol (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Internacional (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Alex Muralha (G) 20. Daniel Borges 34. Joao Victor 3. Jemmes 6. Reinaldo 8. Danielzinho (C) 25. Neto Moura 11. Negueba 27. Gabriel 12. Guilherme 77. Alesson	24. Anthoni (G) 4. Vitao 25. Mercado G. 41. Victor Gabriel 35. Aguirre B. 8. Bruno Henrique 29. Thiago Maia 26. Bernabei A. 11. Romero O. 10. Alan Patrick (C) 28. Vitinho
Substitutes
96. Carlos Eduardo 10. Chico Kim 17. Cristian Renato 16. Felipe Jonatan 44. Gabriel 21. Jose Aldo 4. Luiz Otavio 78. Renato Marques 5. Roni 7. Shaylon 90. Thomazella (G) 41. Yago Felipe	30. Alisson 43. Bernardo Jacob 15. Bruno Gomes 17. Bruno Tabata 20. Clayton Sampaio 47. Gustavo Prado 12. Ivan (G) 46. Pedro Kaua 48. Raykkonen 49. Ricardo Mathias 14. Rodriguez A. 37. Yago
Coaches
Rafael Guanaes	Ramon Diaz

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
14', Gabriel ↓, Cristian Renato ↑,
16', Romero O. 🟨,
26', 1 - 0, Neto Moura ⚽, Daniel Borges (A),
37', Guilherme 🟨,
38', 1 - 1, Thiago Maia ⚽,
45+4', 2 - 1, Reinaldo ⚽, Cristian Renato (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Victor Gabriel ↓, Ricardo Mathias ↑,
49', 3 - 1, Negueba ⚽, Reinaldo (A),
54', Negueba 🟨,
55', Romero O. ↓, Bruno Tabata ↑,
55', Bruno Henrique ↓, Bruno Gomes ↑,
67', Negueba ↓, Carlos Eduardo ↑,
67', Guilherme ↓, Shaylon ↑,
69', Thiago Maia ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
69', Vitao ↓, Clayton Sampaio ↑,
72', Bernabei A. 🟨,
77', Reinaldo ↓, Felipe Jonatan ↑,
77', Alesson ↓, Chico Kim ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 15).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Internacional may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Mirassol could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Mirassol: Edson Carioca (Muscle Injury) PH (Knee Injury) Walter (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Internacional: Drummond L. (Knee Injury) Rochet S. (Foot Injury) Rodriguez A. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Mirassol: Da Silva (Injury) Matheus Sales (Injury)

There are questionable in Internacional: Juninho (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mirassol won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mirassol
Brazilian Serie A
08.10.25	Mirassol - Fluminense	2:1 ✺
04.10.25	Corinthians - Mirassol	3:0 ✺
01.10.25	Mirassol - Red Bull Bragantino	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Atlético Mineiro - Mirassol	1:0 ✺
21.09.25	Mirassol - Juventude	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLTLW
- Internacional RS
Brazilian Serie A
04.10.25	Internacional RS - Botafogo RJ	2:0 ✺
01.10.25	Internacional RS - Corinthians	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Juventude - Internacional RS	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Internacional RS - Grêmio	2:3 ✺
13.09.25	Palmeiras - Internacional RS	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
18.05.25	Internacional RS - Mirassol	1:1

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