Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE C - FIRST STAGE - ROUND 8

Date: 12 June 2023, Monday


	Paysandu		São Bernardo

	1	X	2
	2.85	2.75	2.45
	2.8	2.8	2.6
	2.93	2.92	2.68
	3	2.7	2.35
	2.95	2.95	2.45	Watch
	2.95	2.8	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↑ (2.17)	2.82 ↓ (2.92)	2.51 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paysandu
31.3%

Draw
32.3%

São Bernardo
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

30.8%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

31.1%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paysandu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paysandu's form might have worsened.

São Bernardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting São Bernardo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paysandu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Bernardo than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for São Bernardo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	33.3%	44.4%

Paysandu - São Bernardo Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Paysandu will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). São Bernardo will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for São Bernardo: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Gabriel Bernard (G) 21. Arthur Santos 2. Edilson 32. Igor Fernandes 9. Mario Sergio 27. Nene Bonilha 3. Paulao (C) 20. Robinho 26. Rodolfo Filemon 10. Vinicius Leite 4. Wanderson	1. Alex Alves (G) 6. Arthur Henrique 18. Bruno Santos 2. Jeferson 9. Joao Carlos 13. Leo Paraiso 10. Matheus Oliveira 4. Matheus Salustiano 5. Rafael Vaz 8. Rodrigo Souza (C) 17. Romisson
Substitutes
18. Alan (G) 39. Bruno Alves 8. Dalberto 6. Eltinho 11. Fernando Gabriel 12. Geovane 19. Jordan 14. Juninho 31. Naylhor 37. Roger 28. Serra P.	22. Alex Reinaldo 15. Bruno Azevedo 20. Bruno Michel 26. Davi Gabriel 55. Henrique Lordelo 21. Hugo Sanches 14. Itambe 12. Junior Oliveira (G) 33. Kaua Jesus 23. Marcos Nunes

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Paysandu could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paysandu PA
Brazilian Serie C
07.06.23	Operário Ferroviario - Paysandu	0:0 ✺
04.06.23	Paysandu - EC São José Porto Alegre	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Verde
31.05.23	Goiás - Paysandu	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
28.05.23	Volta Redonda - Paysandu	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paraense
24.05.23	Paysandu - Cametá	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TTLLW
- São Bernardo FC
Brazilian Serie C
08.06.23	Floresta - São Bernardo	2:0 ✺
05.06.23	São Bernardo - Figueirense	1:0 ✺
28.05.23	CS Alagoano - São Bernardo	1:0 ✺
20.05.23	São Bernardo - Confiança	3:1 ✺
13.05.23	Pouso Alegre - São Bernardo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWLWW

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