Match Info

Serie D - Group H - Round 14

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday


	Nardo		Sarnese

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.45	3.2
	1.97	3.61	3.13
	2.08	3.75	2.89	Watch
	1.99	3.46	3.23
	2	3.6	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.05)	3.57 ↓ (3.6)	3.11 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Nardo
45.4%

Draw
25.4%

Sarnese
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

25%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

24.2%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Sarnese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nardo than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarnese than the current prediction. (+1%)

Nardo - Sarnese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Bottalico A. ⚽,
44', 1 - 1, Gatto A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: )).

Nardo is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sarnese has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Nardo will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ACD Nardo
Italian Serie D - Group H
23.11.25	Pompei - Nardo	2:3 ✺
16.11.25	Nardo - Virtus Francavilla	3:0 ✺
09.11.25	Francavilla - Nardo	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Nardo - Acerrana	4:0 ✺
26.10.25	Fidelis Andria - Nardo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWTWT
- Sarnese
Italian Serie D - Group H
23.11.25	Sarnese - Acerrana	6:1 ✺
16.11.25	Nola - Sarnese	3:3 ✺
09.11.25	Sarnese - Heraclea	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Gravina - Sarnese	5:1 ✺
26.10.25	Sarnese - Città di Fasano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WTLLT

Nardo - Sarnese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide