Match Info

Date: 9 March 2021, Tuesday


	Mansfield Town		Cheltenham Town

	1	X	2
	3	3.3	2.37
	2.9	3.2	2.4
	3	3.3	2.4
	2.9	3.1	2.43
	3.03	3.31	2.49
	2.88	3.1	2.45
	3.06	3.38	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↑ (2.73)	3.24 ↑ (3.22)	2.43 ↓ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mansfield Town
31.9%

Draw
29.2%

Cheltenham Town
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

29.3%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7%

21.8%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mansfield Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Cheltenham Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mansfield Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cheltenham Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
3%	15.2%	81.8%

Mansfield Town - Cheltenham Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Mansfield will win (votes: 1 - 3%). Cheltenham will win (votes: 27 - 81.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 15.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cheltenham: 68.6% – 95%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 19 and 1 in the zone Promotion to League One).

Mansfield has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Cheltenham has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (20%), has a good chance of promoted (81%), has a chance of win league (44%).

Mansfield is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cheltenham is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Mansfield won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 15-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Mansfield won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mansfield Town
English League Two
06.03.21	Barrow - Mansfield Town	2:0 ✺
02.03.21	Bradford City - Mansfield Town	1:0 ✺
27.02.21	Mansfield Town - Morecambe	1:0 ✺
23.02.21	Harrogate Town - Mansfield Town	1:0 ✺
20.02.21	Mansfield Town - Cambridge United	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWLL
- Cheltenham Town
English League Two
06.03.21	Cheltenham Town - Port Vale	3:2 ✺
02.03.21	Cheltenham Town - Southend United	1:0 ✺
27.02.21	Scunthorpe United - Cheltenham Town	0:2 ✺
23.02.21	Cambridge United - Cheltenham Town	0:1 ✺
20.02.21	Cheltenham Town - Bradford City	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
10.01.21	Cheltenham Town - Mansfield Town	2:1
English League Two
24.10.20	Cheltenham Town - Mansfield Town	0:0
22.02.20	Cheltenham Town - Mansfield Town	1:0
07.12.19	Mansfield Town - Cheltenham Town	0:3
02.03.19	Mansfield Town - Cheltenham Town	4:2
03.11.18	Cheltenham Town - Mansfield Town	2:2
20.01.18	Mansfield Town - Cheltenham Town	3:2

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