Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 15

Date: 24 October 2023, Tuesday


	Harrogate Town		Mansfield Town

	1	X	2
	5.75	4.2	1.55
	5.25	4	1.6
	5.5	4.2	1.57	Watch
	5.85	4.21	1.59
	5.85	4.21	1.59
	5.5	4	1.57
	5.4	4.1	1.58	Watch
	5.2	4	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.54 ↑ (4.6)	4.12 ↑ (3.75)	1.58 ↓ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Harrogate Town
17.1%

Draw
23%

Mansfield Town
60%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.2%

24.9%

54.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.9%

24.5%

55.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Harrogate Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Mansfield Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mansfield Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	10%	50%

Harrogate Town - Mansfield Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Harrogate will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Mansfield will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mansfield: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Oxley M. (G) 20. Ramsay K. 15. O'Connor A. 16. McDonald R. 23. Foulds M. 17. Sutton L. 8. Cornelius D. 7. Thomson G. (C) 10. Daly M. 12. Folarin S. 18. Muldoon J.	1. Pym C. (G) 9. Bowery J. 14. Flint A. (C) 24. Brunt L. 11. MacDonald C. 15. Lewis A. 25. Reed L. 8. Clarke O. 10. Maris G. 7. Akins L. 40. Keillor-Dunn D.
Substitutes
29. Armstrong L. 6. Burrell W. 11. Daly J. 4. Falkingham J. 24. March J. 9. Odoh A. 13. Thomas L. (G)	44. Boateng H. 13. Flinders S. (G) 12. Gale J. 2. Johnson C. 3. McLaughlin S. 26. Swan W. 22. Williams G.
Coaches
Weaver S.	Clough N.

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 14 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Harrogate won 4.

Recent matches Harrogate is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mansfield is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Harrogate could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Mansfield is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Harrogate won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Harrogate won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Harrogate Town
English League Two
21.10.23	Colchester United - Harrogate Town	1:2 ✺
14.10.23	Harrogate Town - Stockport County	1:3 ✺
English EFL Trophy
10.10.23	Harrogate Town - Accrington Stanley	3:5 ✺
English League Two
07.10.23	Newport County - Harrogate Town	1:2 ✺
03.10.23	Harrogate Town - AFC Wimbledon	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WLLWL
- Mansfield Town
English League Two
14.10.23	Notts County - Mansfield Town	1:4 ✺
English EFL Trophy
10.10.23	Mansfield Town - Doncaster Rovers	3:2 ✺
English League Two
07.10.23	Mansfield Town - AFC Wimbledon	0:0 ✺
03.10.23	Mansfield Town - Wrexham	0:0 ✺
30.09.23	Gillingham - Mansfield Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
29.04.23	Mansfield Town - Harrogate Town	1:2
19.11.22	Harrogate Town - Mansfield Town	3:0
01.02.22	Harrogate Town - Mansfield Town	0:0
04.09.21	Mansfield Town - Harrogate Town	1:3
English EFL Trophy
31.08.21	Harrogate Town - Mansfield Town	3:1
English League Two
23.02.21	Harrogate Town - Mansfield Town	1:0
24.11.20	Mansfield Town - Harrogate Town	0:1

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