The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cheltenham Town 28.3%
Draw 29.3%
Port Vale 42.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.6%
28.4%
43%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.6%
28.4%
43%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
30%
20%
50%
Cheltenham Town - Port Vale Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Cheltenham will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Port Vale will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Port Vale: 23.1% – 88.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Day J. (G) 2. Jude-Boyd A. 25. Stubbs S. 18. Bakare I. 6. Bradbury T. 4. Kinsella L. 8. Young L. (C) 15. Thomas J. 16. Colwill J. 22. Archer E. 10. Miller G.
1. Ripley C. (G) 6. Smith N. 5. Hall C. (C) 4. Heneghan B. 20. Sang T. 18. Croasdale R. 15. Grant C. 24. Kyle John 19. Tolaj L. 10. Chislett E. 9. Stockley J.
Substitutes
12. Bowman R. 14. Dulson L. 1. Evans O. (G) 5. Laing L. 11. Norkett M. 34. Pett T. 9. Taylor M.
13. Amos B. (G) 37. Baker-Boaitey B. 11. Curtis R. 42. Hart S. 16. Lowe J. 17. Paton R. 26. Richards R.
Coaches
Flynn M.
Moore D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Heneghan B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 1 - 0, Miller G. ⚽,
62', Grant C. ↓, Curtis R. ↑,
62', Smith N. ↓, Hart S. ↑,
62', Tolaj L. ↓, Richards R. ↑,
69', Bakare I. 🟨,
70', Kyle John ↓, Paton R. ↑,
78', Miller G. ↓, Taylor M. ↑,
78', Archer E. ↓, Pett T. ↑,
78', Stockley J. ↓, Baker-Boaitey B. ↑,
85', Croasdale R. 🟨,
90+1', Colwill J. ↓, Laing L. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 1, Curtis R. ⚽, Paton R. (A),
90+5', Day J. 🟨,
Preview
Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Cheltenham won 3.
Both teams are now playing unstable.
Port Vale could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Port Vale will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 15 head-to-head matches Cheltenham won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 25:23 (average 1.7:1.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Cheltenham won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14:9 (average 1.8:1.1).
United-kingdom
Watch
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Day J. (G) 
Jude-Boyd A. 
Kinsella L. 
Colwill J. 
Tolaj L. 
Moore D. 
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