The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mansfield Town 41.9%
Draw 28.2%
Rotherham United 29.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.6%
25.9%
23.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.3%
25.5%
23.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mansfield Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mansfield Town's form might have worsened.
Rotherham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rotherham United's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mansfield Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rotherham United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
87.5%
0%
12.5%
Mansfield Town - Rotherham United Predictions
Users Predictions:
Mansfield Town will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%). Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Mansfield Town will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Roberts L. (G) 2. Knoyle K. 23. Oshilaja A. 20. Blake-Tracy F. 3. McLaughlin S. (C) 15. McDonnell J. 8. Lewis A. 22. Moriah-Welsh N. 29. Roberts T. 11. Evans W. 18. Oates R.
1. Dawson C. (C) 22. Hall D. 15. Baptiste J. 19. Benson J. 14. Kaleta M. 18. Agbaire L. 44. Gore D. 7. Powell J. 6. James R. 9. Hugill J. 8. Spence K.
Substitutes
33. Anderson T. 17. Dickov M. 14. Dwyer D. 34. Flanagan F. 10. Maris G. 12. Mason O. (G) 21. McAdam K.
13. Cann T. (G) 29. Etete K. 23. Holmes J. 3. Jules Z. 11. Martha A. 2. Rafferty J. 16. Yearwood D.
Coaches
Clough N.
Hamshaw M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Hugill J. (Pen),
20', Hall D. 🟨,
32', Roberts T. 🟨,
35', Moriah-Welsh N. 🟨,
38', Agbaire L. 🟨,
45+3', Gore D. 🟨,
45+4', McLaughlin S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Kaleta M. ↓, Martha A. ↑,
58', Agbaire L. ↓, Jules Z. ↑,
62', 1 - 1, Roberts T. ⚽,
66', Roberts T. ↓, Maris G. ↑,
77', Spence K. ↓, Etete K. ↑,
80', Moriah-Welsh N. ↓, Dickov M. ↑,
88', James R. 🟨,
89', Knoyle K. ↓, Dwyer D. ↑,
89', McLaughlin S. ↓, McAdam K. ↑,
90', Oates R. ↓, Anderson T. ↑,
90', 2 - 1, Dwyer D. ⚽,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
The current form of both teams is below expectations.
In this match, Mansfield is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Mansfield: Bolton L.
(Injury)
Cargill B.
(Injury)
Oshilaja A.
(Groin Injury)
Sweeney R.
(Red Card)
There will not play in Rotherham: Hatton B.
(Hamstring Injury)
Holmes T.
(Knee Injury)
Nombe S.
(Hamstring Injury)
Raggett S.
(Injury)
Sherif M.
(Hamstring Injury)
There are questionable in Mansfield: Hendry R.
(Injury)
Maris G.
(Inactive)
Reed L.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Rotherham: Etete K.
(Injury)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mansfield won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.4:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Mansfield won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).
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Roberts L. (G) 
McLaughlin S. (C) 
McDonnell J. 
Lewis A. 
Moriah-Welsh N. 
Hall D. 
Agbaire L. 
Dwyer D. 
Martha A. 
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