The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lincoln City 42.2%
Draw 28.2%
Mansfield Town 29.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.3%
26.7%
28%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.6%
27.5%
27.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lincoln City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
Mansfield Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
61.5%
23.1%
15.4%
Lincoln City - Mansfield Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Lincoln will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Mansfield will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Lincoln: 35% – 88%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Lincoln (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Mansfield (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 5.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Wickens G. (G) 2. Darikwa T. (C) 22. Hamer T. 15. Bradley S. 6. Towler R. 14. McGrandles C. 8. Bayliss T. 17. Street R. 34. Draper F. 7. Hackett-Fairchild R. 9. Collins J.
1. Roberts L. (G) 2. Knoyle K. 9. Bowery J. 5. Sweeney R. (C) 20. Blake-Tracy F. 15. McDonnell J. 8. Lewis A. 27. Bolton L. 10. Maris G. 17. Dickov M. 11. Evans W.
Substitutes
18. House B. 5. Jackson A. 13. Jeacock Z. (G) 19. Okoronkwo F. 12. Ring E. 11. Thorn O. 24. Varfolomeev I.
6. Cargill B. 14. Dwyer D. 32. Gardner J. 24. Hendry R. 12. Mason O. (G) 3. McLaughlin S. 22. Moriah-Welsh N.
Coaches
Skubala M.
Clough N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Bradley S. ⚽, Collins J. (A),
30', Bradley S. 🟥,
35', Draper F. 🟨,
37', Draper F. ↓, Jackson A. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Bolton L. ↓, Hendry R. ↑,
46', Blake-Tracy F. ↓, Cargill B. ↑,
46', Dickov M. ↓, McLaughlin S. ↑,
46', Lewis A. ↓, Dwyer D. ↑,
52', Bayliss T. 🟨,
53', Hackett-Fairchild R. 🟨,
55', Dwyer D. 🟨,
58', Towler R. 🟨,
59', Hamer T. 🟨,
64', Collins J. ↓, House B. ↑,
65', Hackett-Fairchild R. ↓, Okoronkwo F. ↑,
65', Hendry R. ↓, Moriah-Welsh N. ↑,
78', Street R. ↓, Thorn O. ↑,
79', Bayliss T. ↓, Varfolomeev I. ↑,
79', Wickens G. 🟨,
82', 1 - 1, Moriah-Welsh N. ⚽, Knoyle K. (A),
87', Cargill B. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 3.
Lincoln has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Mansfield is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Mansfield may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Lincoln has had a series of away games.
Lincoln will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Lincoln: Moylan J.
(Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Mansfield: Gregory L.
(Knee Injury)
Oshilaja A.
(Groin Injury)
There are questionable in Lincoln: Jefferies D.
(Hip Injury)
There are questionable in Mansfield: Oates R.
(Injury)
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:18. (average 1.5:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Lincoln won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.4:1.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Lincoln City - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 45.34%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.