Match Info

ENGLAND: League One - Round 7

Date: 21 September 2024, Saturday

Location: One Call Stadium (Mansfield)

Referee: Smith L. (Eng)


	Mansfield Town		Shrewsbury Town

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.6	4.75
	1.73	3.75	4.33
	1.72	4	4.5
	1.78	3.92	4.8
	1.75	3.7	4.47	Watch
	1.73	3.7	4.75
	1.74	3.74	4.76	Watch
	1.72	4	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.75)	3.8 ↑ (3.57)	4.61 ↓ (4.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mansfield Town
54.5%

Draw
24.9%

Shrewsbury Town
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

26.5%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

18.9%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mansfield Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Shrewsbury Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (-15.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mansfield Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shrewsbury Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Mansfield Town - Shrewsbury Town Predictions

Users Predictions: Mansfield Town will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

The competitors look crappy now.

Mansfield could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Mansfield is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Mansfield won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 0-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Mansfield won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mansfield Town
English EFL Trophy
17.09.24	Mansfield Town - Bradford City	0:3 ✺
English League One
14.09.24	Mansfield Town - Cambridge United	2:1 ✺
31.08.24	Mansfield Town - Stockport County	1:1 ✺
24.08.24	Lincoln City - Mansfield Town	4:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
20.08.24	Rotherham United - Mansfield Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWTLL
- Shrewsbury Town
English League One
14.09.24	Shrewsbury Town - Charlton Athletic	0:1 ✺
07.09.24	Wrexham - Shrewsbury Town	3:0 ✺
31.08.24	Shrewsbury Town - Leyton Orient	3:0 ✺
English League Cup
27.08.24	Shrewsbury Town - Bolton Wanderers	0:2 ✺
English League One
24.08.24	Huddersfield Town - Shrewsbury Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
30.11.19	Shrewsbury Town - Mansfield Town	2:0
English League Two
06.04.15	Mansfield Town - Shrewsbury Town	0:1
15.11.14	Shrewsbury Town - Mansfield Town	2:0

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