The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mansfield Town 39.1%
Draw 30%
Wigan Athletic 30.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.9%
29%
31.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.1%
28.2%
30.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mansfield Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Wigan Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
22.2%
55.6%
22.2%
Mansfield Town - Wigan Athletic Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Mansfield will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Wigan will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.
1. Roberts L. (G) 2. Knoyle K. 23. Oshilaja A. 20. Blake-Tracy F. 3. McLaughlin S. (C) 15. McDonnell J. 8. Lewis A. 22. Moriah-Welsh N. 29. Roberts T. 11. Evans W. 18. Oates R.
1. Tickle S. (G) 4. Aimson W. 15. Kerr J. (C) 3. Fox M. 7. Murray F. 6. Weir J. 17. Smith M. 8. Wright C. 31. Cooper O. 44. Hungbo J. 9. Saydee C.
Substitutes
9. Bowery J. 17. Dickov M. 14. Dwyer D. 28. Gardner J. 24. Hendry R. 12. Mason O. (G) 5. Sweeney R.
37. Asamoah M. 21. Borges Rodrigues R. 23. Carragher J. 20. McManaman C. 10. Mullin P. 19. Robinson L. 30. Savin T. (G)
Coaches
Clough N.
Lowe R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Evans W. ⚽, Moriah-Welsh N. (A),
39', Smith M. 🟨,
45', Murray F. 🟨,
45+2', McDonnell J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', 1 - 1, Cooper O. ⚽, Fox M. (A),
61', Saydee C. 🟨,
65', Oates R. ↓, Gardner J. ↑,
65', Moriah-Welsh N. ↓, Hendry R. ↑,
78', Cooper O. ↓, Asamoah M. ↑,
83', Saydee C. ↓, Mullin P. ↑,
86', Roberts T. ↓, Dickov M. ↑,
86', Knoyle K. ↓, Bowery J. ↑,
90+2', Wright C. ↓, Carragher J. ↑,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 9 and 14).
Mansfield has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Wigan is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Recently, Wigan has had a series of home games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Mansfield: Bolton L.
(Knee Injury)
Cargill B.
(Hamstring Injury)
There will not play in Wigan: Adeeko B.
(Inactive)
Carragher J.
(Surgery)
Costelloe D.
(Red Card)
Mabaya I.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
McHugh H.
(Inactive)
Sze C.
(Foot Injury)
Trevitt R.
(Thigh Injury)
There are questionable in Mansfield: Reed L.
(Groin Injury)
There are questionable in Wigan: Francois T.
(Muscle Injury)
Rogers J.
(Injury)
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mansfield won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Mansfield won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).