Match Info

League One - Round 11

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Home Park (Plymouth)

Referee: Atkinson B. (Eng)


	Plymouth Argyle		Wigan Athletic

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.3	3
	2.35	3.3	2.9
	2.42	3.2	2.88
	2.29	3.41	3.23
	2.64	2.61	3.26	Watch
	2.4	3.26	2.91	Watch
	2.22	3.3	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.5)	3.2 ↓ (3.36)	3.02 ↑ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Plymouth Argyle
39.7%

Draw
29.3%

Wigan Athletic
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

27.8%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

26.8%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Plymouth Argyle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Wigan Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	9.1%	27.3%

Plymouth Argyle - Wigan Athletic Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Plymouth will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Wigan will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Plymouth: 35.2% – 92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Plymouth (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Wigan (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Plymouth (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Wigan (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hazard C. (C) 4. Wiredu B. 2. Ross M. 22. Galloway B. 29. Sorinola M. 19. Boateng M. 20. McCabe L. 11. Mumba B. 39. Finn T. 18. Oseni O. 9. Tolaj L.	1. Tickle S. (G) 4. Aimson W. 15. Kerr J. (C) 5. Sessegnon S. 17. Smith M. 7. Murray F. 19. Robinson L. 6. Weir J. 31. Cooper O. 21. Borges Rodrigues R. 9. Saydee C.
Substitutes
21. Ashby-Hammond L. (G) 14. Benarous A. 41. Campbell S. 35. Dale O. 7. Paterson J. 27. Pepple A. 24. Roberts C.	37. Asamoah M. 27. Brenan T. 44. Hungbo J. 20. McManaman C. 10. Mullin P. 48. Rogers J. 30. Savin T. (G)
Coaches
Cleverley T.	Lowe R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Murray F. 🟨,
31', Oseni O. 🟨,
32', Smith M. 🟨,
42', Robinson L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', McCabe L. ↓, Paterson J. ↑,
65', Mumba B. 🟨,
69', Aimson W. 🟨,
70', 1 - 0, Tolaj L. (Pen),
71', Oseni O. ↓, Pepple A. ↑,
74', Robinson L. ↓, Hungbo J. ↑,
74', Cooper O. ↓, Mullin P. ↑,
78', Sessegnon S. 🟨,
82', 1 - 1, Murray F. ⚽, Saydee C. (A),
90+3', Borges Rodrigues R. ↓, McManaman C. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 15 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Plymouth won 0.

Plymouth is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Wigan is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Plymouth: Amaechi X. (Hamstring Injury) Ibrahim B. (Yellow Cards) MacKenzie J. (Injury) Pleguezuelo J. (Knee Injury) Szucs K. (Injury) Watts C. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Wigan: Adams J. (Knee Injury) Carragher J. (Surgery) Fox M. (Red Card) Mabaya I. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Miller K. L. (Inactive) Sze C. (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Wigan: Francois T. (Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Plymouth won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.7:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Plymouth won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.7:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Plymouth Argyle
English League One
27.09.25	Burton Albion - Plymouth Argyle	0:4 ✺
English EFL Trophy
23.09.25	Plymouth Argyle - Tottenham Hotspur U21	6:2 ✺
English League One
20.09.25	Plymouth Argyle - Peterborough United	0:1 ✺
13.09.25	Luton Town - Plymouth Argyle	2:3 ✺
06.09.25	Plymouth Argyle - Stockport County	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.6 WWLWW
- Wigan Athletic
English League One
27.09.25	Wigan Athletic - Cardiff City	0:2 ✺
English League Cup
23.09.25	Wigan Athletic - Wycombe Wanderers	0:2 ✺
English League One
20.09.25	Bolton Wanderers - Wigan Athletic	4:1 ✺
13.09.25	Wigan Athletic - Doncaster Rovers	3:0 ✺
06.09.25	Lincoln City - Wigan Athletic	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

English League One
23.04.22	Wigan Athletic - Plymouth Argyle	1:1
27.11.21	Plymouth Argyle - Wigan Athletic	1:2
09.03.21	Plymouth Argyle - Wigan Athletic	0:2
24.10.20	Wigan Athletic - Plymouth Argyle	1:1
20.01.18	Plymouth Argyle - Wigan Athletic	1:3
26.09.17	Wigan Athletic - Plymouth Argyle	1:0

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