The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Stevenage Borough 48.1%
Draw 28.5%
Wigan Athletic 23.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.3%
27.7%
30%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.6%
26.9%
29.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stevenage Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stevenage Borough's performance.
Wigan Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wigan Athletic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wigan Athletic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
83.3%
0%
16.7%
Stevenage Borough - Wigan Athletic Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Stevenage will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Wigan will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 3.5 - under (1.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
New Consensus by Tipsters:
1X2 - Stevenage (2.10) (votes: 89%) ⭐ Best Value.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Setford T. (G) 15. Vancooten T. 2. James-Wildin L. 5. Piergianni C. (C) 25. Marcal W. 8. Phillips D. 24. Smith M. 14. Earley S. 10. Kemp D. 18. Sanderson O. 9. Magennis J.
41. Whitworth J. (G) 23. Carragher J. 5. Burns F. 4. Chilokoa-Mullen J. 2. Barrett C. 8. Power M. (C) 6. Weir J. 22. Mellish J. 18. Gray C. 27. Burrowes B. 25. Hogan S.
Substitutes
12. Barden D. (G) 27. Broggio B. 16. Casey K. 4. Houghton J. 28. Mellon M. 44. Patterson P. 23. Thompson L.
16. Harris A. 21. Miller K. 7. Murray F. 9. Perkins S. 38. Saydee C. 1. Walsh J. (G) 10. Walsh R.
Coaches
Revell A.
Caldwell G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Burns F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Gray C. 🟨,
60', 1 - 0, Marcal W. ⚽, Magennis J. (A),
64', Chilokoa-Mullen J. ↓, Murray F. ↑,
64', Burrowes B. ↓, Walsh R. ↑,
66', Sanderson O. ↓, Broggio B. ↑,
66', Smith M. ↓, Thompson L. ↑,
69', Walsh R. 🟨,
79', Marcal W. ↓, Patterson P. ↑,
79', Magennis J. ↓, Mellon M. ↑,
85', Weir J. ↓, Harris A. ↑,
85', Mellish J. ↓, Perkins S. ↑,
90+4', Carragher J. 🟨,
Preview
Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 13th and 24th in the Relegation - League Two).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stevenage won 2.
Stevenage has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Performances by Wigan have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Wigan could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Wigan has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Stevenage is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Confirmed absences for Stevenage: Pattenden J.
(Muscle Injury).
Confirmed absences for Wigan: Harris L.
(Injury)
Higgins A.
(Inactive)
Saydee C.
(Muscle Injury)
Trevitt R.
(Hamstring Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Stevenage: Roberts J.
(Inactive).
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Stevenage has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 6:4 (averaging 1:0.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Stevenage against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 3:2 goals (averaging 1:0.7 per game).
Outrights of English League One for now
Stevenage: 1.24% Wigan: 0.57%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
9
Stevenage
8
3
3
2
12:8
4
12
24
Wigan
8
1
1
6
5:13
-8
4
Last Results with these Odds
Stevenage Borough - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 42.26%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.
Wigan Athletic - the odds 3.11 are the expected chance of winning is 30.03%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
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Setford T. (G) 
Vancooten T. 
James-Wildin L. 
Marcal W. 
Phillips D. 
Magennis J. 
Carragher J. 
Chilokoa-Mullen J. 
Hogan S. 
Barden D. (G) 
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