Match Info

ECUADOR: Serie B - Round 30

Date: 20 September 2024, Friday

Location: Estadio Jocay (Manta)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Zapping
World	Fanatiz


	Manta		Chacaritas

	1	X	2
	1.39	4	7
	1.37	4.1	8
	1.42	3.95	7.92
	1.44	3.99	8.24	Watch
	1.36	3.9	8
	1.39	3.98	8
	1.38	4	7.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.34)	3.99 ↓ (4.2)	7.85 ↓ (8.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manta
65.5%

Draw
22.9%

Chacaritas
11.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68%

21.7%

10.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.1%

20.5%

9.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Chacaritas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manta than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Manta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chacaritas than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Manta - Chacaritas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
13', 1 - 0, Valencia K. ⚽,
23', 2 - 0, Aleman C. ⚽,
43', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Manta won 3.

Manta is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Chacaritas is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Manta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Manta is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Manta won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Manta won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manta FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
12.09.24	Independiente Juniors - Manta	1:2 ✺
08.09.24	Manta - Vinotinto	1:0 ✺
05.09.24	Vargas Torres - Manta	0:0 ✺
29.08.24	Manta - San Antonio	0:0 ✺
21.08.24	Gualaceo - Manta	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.1 WWTTT
- Chacaritas FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
11.09.24	Chacaritas - 9 de Octubre	1:1 ✺
04.09.24	Vinotinto - Chacaritas	2:0 ✺
22.08.24	Guayaquil City - Chacaritas	3:0 ✺
14.08.24	Chacaritas - San Antonio	0:0 ✺
09.08.24	Gualaceo - Chacaritas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
31.07.24	Chacaritas - Manta	0:1
23.05.24	Manta - Chacaritas	0:1
28.03.24	Chacaritas - Manta	1:0
28.09.23	Manta - Chacaritas	1:0
09.08.23	Chacaritas - Manta	0:1
28.06.23	Chacaritas - Manta	1:1
11.05.23	Manta - Chacaritas	1:0

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