Match Info

Serie B - Round 16

Date: 2 July 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Christian Benítez Betancourt (Guayaquil)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
Peru	Zapping Sports


	Guayaquil City		Chacaritas

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.26	4.95	8.8
	1.3	5.2	9.19
				Watch
	1.33	5	8.5
	1.26	4.75	10.7	Watch
	1.26	4.95	8.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.37)	4.97 ↑ (4.4)	9.2 ↑ (8.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guayaquil City
71.6%

Draw
18.5%

Chacaritas
10%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.5%

21%

11.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.3%

19.9%

10.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guayaquil City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Chacaritas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guayaquil City than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chacaritas than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Guayaquil City - Chacaritas Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Guayaquil City (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Mero E. ⚽,
29', 2 - 0, Naula A. ⚽,
35', 3 - 0, Mero E. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
54', 4 - 0, Bolanos M. ⚽,
63', 🟥,
84', 5 - 0, Caicedo J. ⚽,
90', 6 - 0, Palma M. D. J. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion Group: ) and 12 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: )).

Guayaquil City is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Chacaritas has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Chacaritas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Guayaquil City is the obvious favorite.

We predict that Guayaquil City will win today's game, with odds of 1.31.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guayaquil City won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:3. (average 2:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Guayaquil City won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:0. (average 4:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guayaquil City FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
26.06.25	Atlético Vinotinto - Guayaquil City	3:2 ✺
19.06.25	9 de Octubre - Guayaquil City	0:1 ✺
12.06.25	Guayaquil City - Independiente Juniors	1:0 ✺
05.06.25	San Antonio - Guayaquil City	0:1 ✺
29.05.25	Guayaquil City - Gualaceo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LWWWW
- Chacaritas FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
25.06.25	Chacaritas - Independiente Juniors	0:2 ✺
17.06.25	San Antonio - Chacaritas	2:0 ✺
10.06.25	Chacaritas - Vargas Torres	3:3 ✺
03.06.25	Imbabura - Chacaritas	4:1 ✺
29.05.25	Chacaritas - Cumbayá	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
24.04.25	Chacaritas - Guayaquil City	1:1
09.10.24	Chacaritas - Guayaquil City	0:0
22.08.24	Guayaquil City - Chacaritas	3:0
02.07.24	Guayaquil City - Chacaritas	5:0
14.03.24	Chacaritas - Guayaquil City	2:1

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