Match Info

Serie B - Round 6

Date: 30 September 2025, Tuesday

Location: Stadio Romeo Menti (Castellammare di Stabia)

Referee: Calzavara A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Juve Stabia		Mantova

	1	X	2
	1.49	4.1	6	Watch
	1.52	3.95	5.9	Watch
	1.56	4	6.8
	1.16	7.33	13.82	Watch
	1.57	4.18	6.12	Watch
	1.87	3.5	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.84)	4.51 ↑ (3.6)	7.09 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juve Stabia
64.3%

Draw
21.8%

Mantova
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

26.1%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

25.5%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juve Stabia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Juve Stabia's performance.

Mantova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mantova might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juve Stabia than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Juve Stabia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mantova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	8.3%	0%

Juve Stabia - Mantova Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Juve Stabia (1.97) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

Users Predictions: Juve Stabia will win (22 of 24 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.61% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Juve Stabia will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Juve Stabia (votes: 14 - 93.3%). Mantova (votes: 1 - 6.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Confente A. (G) 4. Ruggero M. 33. Giorgini A. 13. Varnier M. 24. Carissoni L. 98. Mosti N. 55. Leone G. 11. Piscopo K. 29. Correia O. 27. Candellone L. (C) 9. Gabrielloni A.	1. Festa M. (C) 96. Maggioni T. 3. Mantovani V. 29. Cella S. 27. Castellini A. 10. Wieser D. 8. Artioli F. 30. Bragantini D. 21. Trimboli S. 23. Marras T. 99. Bonfanti N.
Substitutes
15. Baldi M. 6. Bellich M. 23. Boer P. (G) 7. Burnete R. 21. De Pieri G. 20. Duca E. 37. Maistro F. 10. Pierobon C. 3. Reale F. 16. Signorini A. (G) 19. Stabile G. 45. Zuccon F.	22. Andrenacci L. (G) 6. Bani C. 28. Caprini M. 11. Fiori A. 14. Galuppini F. 37. Majer Z. 9. Mancuso L. 7. Mensah D. 4. Mullen S. 36. Paoletti F. 53. Pittino T. 17. Radaelli N.
Coaches
Abate I.	Possanzini D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Ruggero M. ⚽,
20', 2 - 0, Candellone L. ⚽, Varnier M. (A),
31', Candellone L. ↓, Maistro F. ↑,
40', Mosti N. 🟨,
45', Trimboli S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Mosti N. ↓, Pierobon C. ↑,
53', Gabrielloni A. ↓, Burnete R. ↑,
56', Wieser D. ↓, Paoletti F. ↑,
56', Marras T. ↓, Fiori A. ↑,
70', Paoletti F. 🟨,
73', Maggioni T. ↓, Radaelli N. ↑,
74', Confente A. 🟨,
77', Bonfanti N. ↓, Mancuso L. ↑,
77', Artioli F. ↓, Mensah D. ↑,
79', Ruggero M. ↓, Bellich M. ↑,
79', Piscopo K. ↓, Zuccon F. ↑,
81', Radaelli N. 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 1, Mancuso L. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: )).

Juve Stabia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Mantova is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Juve Stabia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Juve Stabia is the team to beat.

There will not play in Juve Stabia: Battistella T. (Knee Injury) Cacciamani A. (Red Card) Ciammaglichella A. (Overload) Mannini M. (International duty) Morachioli G. (Lacking Match Fitness)

There will not play in Mantova: Ruocco F. (Inactive)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Juve Stabia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Juve Stabia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juve Stabia
Italian Serie B
26.09.25	Catanzaro - Juve Stabia	2:2 ✺
20.09.25	Spezia - Juve Stabia	1:3 ✺
13.09.25	Juve Stabia - Reggiana	0:0 ✺
30.08.25	Juve Stabia - Venezia	0:0 ✺
23.08.25	Virtus Entella - Juve Stabia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TWTTT
- Mantova FC
Italian Serie B
27.09.25	Mantova - Frosinone	1:5 ✺
20.09.25	Mantova - Modena	1:3 ✺
14.09.25	Virtus Entella - Mantova	1:0 ✺
30.08.25	Mantova - Pescara	2:1 ✺
23.08.25	Monza - Mantova	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
08.03.25	Mantova - Juve Stabia	1:1
28.08.24	Juve Stabia - Mantova	1:0
Italian Super Cup Serie C
11.05.24	Juve Stabia - Mantova	1:4

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