Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP A - ROUND 20

Date: 23 December 2022, Friday

Location: Stadio Danilo Martelli (Mantova)


	Mantova		Sangiuliano City Nova

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.87	2.9	Watch
	2.2	2.9	3.2
	2.31	2.75	2.95
	2.46	2.9	2.94
	2.38	2.8	3
	2.38	3.02	2.93	Watch
	2.34	2.95	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.2)	2.88 (2.88)	2.99 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mantova
38.6%

Draw
31.3%

Sangiuliano City Nova
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

31.3%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

30.5%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mantova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Sangiuliano City Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sangiuliano City Nova than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	66.7%	16.7%

Mantova - Sangiuliano City Nova Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Mantova will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Sangiuliano City will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 40% – 93.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 14).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mantova won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mantova FC
Italian Serie C Group A
17.12.22	Padova - Mantova	1:1 ✺
11.12.22	Mantova - Pro Vercelli	3:3 ✺
04.12.22	Renate - Mantova	1:3 ✺
30.11.22	Mantova - AlbinoLeffe	0:1 ✺
27.11.22	Juventus U23 - Mantova	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 TTWLT
- Sangiuliano City Nova
Italian Serie C Group A
17.12.22	Pro Patria - Sangiuliano City Nova	2:1 ✺
11.12.22	Sangiuliano City Nova - Triestina	1:0 ✺
04.12.22	Juventus U23 - Sangiuliano City Nova	1:0 ✺
30.11.22	Sangiuliano City Nova - Padova	1:0 ✺
27.11.22	Pro Vercelli - Sangiuliano City Nova	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
03.09.22	Sangiuliano City Nova - Mantova	4:2

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