Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 1 August 2026, Saturday


	Marítimo		Nacional

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.20	2.50
	2.35	3.35	2.50
	2.55	3.30	2.60
	2.50	2.95	2.55
	2.59	3.18	2.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.3)	3.2 ↓ (3.5)	2.57 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marítimo
36.4%

Draw
28.3%

Nacional
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

26%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marítimo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Marítimo - Nacional Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
74', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marítimo won 4.

Marítimo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Marítimo won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:27. (average 1.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Marítimo won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:12. (average 1.7:1.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Marítimo - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 39.6%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Marítimo
Portuguese Liga 2
15.05.26	Marítimo - Chaves	1:3 ✺
09.05.26	Penafiel - Marítimo	1:0 ✺
01.05.26	Marítimo - Leixões	3:2 ✺
26.04.26	Benfica B - Marítimo	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Torreense - Marítimo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWWL
- Atletico Nacional
Club Friendly
23.07.26	Estrela da Amadora - Nacional	2:0 ✺
19.07.26	Tondela - Nacional	Canceled ✺
Liga Portugal
16.05.26	Nacional - Vitoria Guimarães	2:0 ✺
11.05.26	Santa Clara - Nacional	2:0 ✺
02.05.26	Nacional - AVS	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 L?WLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
03.08.25	Marítimo - Nacional	3:0
Portuguese Liga 2
21.01.24	Marítimo - Nacional	3:1
12.08.23	Nacional - Marítimo	1:2
Liga Portugal
12.03.21	Nacional - Marítimo	1:2
31.10.20	Marítimo - Nacional	0:0
31.03.19	Marítimo - Nacional	3:2
10.11.18	Nacional - Marítimo	1:0

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