Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 1

Date: 10 August 2026, Monday

Location: Estádio de São Miguel (Ponta Delgada)

Referee: Carvalho H. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Mexico	Disney+
Portugal	Sport TV1
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Santa Clara		Nacional

	1	X	2
	1.81	3.10	5.00	Watch
	1.95	3.10	4.20
	1.85	3.20	4.60	Watch
	2.00	3.12	4.79
	1.93	3.13	4.66	Watch
	1.88	3.15	4.80
	2.01	3.21	4.53	Watch
	1.91	3.10	4.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.9)	3.14 ↓ (3.34)	4.62 ↑ (4.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Clara
49.4%

Draw
30.2%

Nacional
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

27.9%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Clara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80.4%	15.2%	4.3%

Santa Clara - Nacional Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Santa Clara (2.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Santa Clara will win (37 of 46 users predict this - 80.43%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.96% – 91.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Santa Clara will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Santa Clara (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lucas Franca (G) 2. Diogo Calila 23. Lima S. (C) 4. Pacheco P. 5. Guilherme Romao 6. Ferreira P. 41. Daniel Borges 99. Sorriso 8. Tavares J. 70. Vinicius Lopes 9. Paciencia G.	1. Marin R. (G) 52. Wesley Gasolina 34. Leo Santos (C) 38. Ze Vitor 7. Jensen M. 6. Matheus Dias 8. Baeza M. 28. Liziero 26. Silva J. 10. Daniel Junior 99. Pablo Ruan
Substitutes
21. Fernandes E. 7. Fernando 88. Hiago Santos 85. Infante A. 42. Lucas Soares 12. Neneca (G) 20. Ribeiro T. 37. Rildo 17. Vasconcelos 22. Vitinho 11. Welinton Torrao	88. Deivison 2. de la Cruz D. I. 11. Gavriel S. 33. Goncalves C. 15. Labidi C. 23. Mateus Iseppe 50. Medeiros de Freitas K. V. (G) 22. Soares F. 30. Watts
Coaches
Petit	Joao Giao

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
19', 1 - 0, Paciencia G. ⚽,
21', 2 - 0, Paciencia G. ⚽, Diogo Calila (A),
24', Vinicius Lopes 🟨,
36', 2 - 1, Liziero (Penalty Awarded),
39', Daniel Borges 🟨,
40', Wesley Gasolina 🟨,
45', 2 - 2, Baeza M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Silva J. ↓, Soares F. ↑,
67', Vinicius Lopes ↓, Welinton Torrao ↑,
67', Tavares J. ↓, Ribeiro T. ↑,
69', Soares F. 🟨,
72', Baeza M. ↓, Gavriel S. ↑,
72', Wesley Gasolina ↓, de la Cruz D. I. ↑,
79', Daniel Borges ↓, Rildo ↑,
79', Sorriso ↓, Fernando ↑,
80', Daniel Junior ↓, Deivison ↑,
80', Jensen M. ↓, Mateus Iseppe ↑,
85', Diogo Calila ↓, Lucas Soares ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Clara won 2.

Santa Clara may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Santa Clara is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Santa Clara: Ferreira P. (Injury) MT (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Nacional: Fernandes I. (Injury) Ulisses (Broken calfbone) Wesley Gasolina (Transfer negotiations)

There are questionable in Nacional: Baeza M. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Santa Clara won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 26:14. (average 2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Santa Clara won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:4. (average 1.9:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Santa Clara	8	5	3	0	12:4	8	18
15	Nacional	7	1	1	5	7:15	-8	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Santa Clara
Club Friendly
25.07.26	Santa Clara - Arouca	3:0 ✺
22.07.26	Santa Clara - Moreirense	2:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
16.05.26	Porto - Santa Clara	1:0 ✺
11.05.26	Santa Clara - Nacional	2:0 ✺
02.05.26	Arouca - Santa Clara	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWLWT
- Atletico Nacional
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Marítimo - Nacional	1:0 ✺
23.07.26	Estrela da Amadora - Nacional	2:0 ✺
19.07.26	Tondela - Nacional	Canceled ✺
Liga Portugal
16.05.26	Nacional - Vitoria Guimarães	2:0 ✺
11.05.26	Santa Clara - Nacional	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LL?WL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
11.05.26	Santa Clara - Nacional	2:0
11.01.26	Nacional - Santa Clara	3:3
30.03.25	Santa Clara - Nacional	1:0
04.11.24	Nacional - Santa Clara	2:0
Portuguese Liga 2
17.03.24	Santa Clara - Nacional	0:1
Taça de Portugal
11.01.24	Santa Clara - Nacional	2:1 penalties
Portuguese Liga 2
04.11.23	Nacional - Santa Clara	1:1

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