Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 27

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio do Marítimo (Funchal)

Referee: Baixinho R. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan
Portugal	Sport TV3


	Marítimo		Oliveirense

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.33	7.5
	1.35	4.4	7
	1.36	4.65	7.7
	1.35	5.07	9.02
	1.34	5.12	8.24
	1.33	4.4	7.5
	1.34	4.75	8.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.38)	4.67 ↑ (4.52)	7.91 ↑ (7.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marítimo
68.6%

Draw
19.7%

Oliveirense
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.8%

20.3%

12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.9%

19.1%

12.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marítimo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Oliveirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marítimo than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oliveirense than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

Marítimo - Oliveirense Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Marítimo will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Samu (G) 2. Igor Juliao 5. Madsen N. 44. Correia R. (C) 23. Henrique P. 98. Ibrahima 14. Raphael Guzzo 10. Tejon M. 28. Carlos Daniel 21. Bouzaidi S. 3. Butzke A.	31. Ribeiro R. (C) 2. Douglas Borel 4. Bura 75. Namora N. 26. Bastos L. 90. Brito T. 14. Pereira D. 21. Silva J. 8. Ondoa F. 10. Bruno Silva 23. Gustavao
Substitutes
90. Borukov P. 18. Danilovic V. 25. Freitas A. 20. Gomes Aguiar F. T. 9. Melro J. 1. Pastor A. (G) 7. Pena Zauner E. 4. Santos Junior E. A. 17. Xavi Grande	16. Diallo A. 40. Greis N. (G) 11. Joanderson 7. Joao Adriano 17. Lucas Henrique 9. Martelo P. 3. Mateus Raniel 80. Onohara K. 99. Sabino
Coaches
Moita M.	Silva R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Brito T. 🟨,
39', Bastos L. 🟨,
45', Silva J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
65', 1 - 0, Carlos Daniel ⚽,
74', Bruno Silva ↓, Joanderson ↑,
74', Gustavao ↓, Diallo A. ↑,
74', Douglas Borel ↓, Martelo P. ↑,
74', Pereira D. ↓, Lucas Henrique ↑,
75', Igor Juliao ↓, Xavi Grande ↑,
75', Ibrahima ↓, Danilovic V. ↑,
83', Carlos Daniel ↓, Gomes Aguiar F. T. ↑,
85', Bouzaidi S. 🟨,
88', Tejon M. ↓, Santos Junior E. A. ↑,
88', Butzke A. ↓, Borukov P. ↑,
90', Brito T. ↓, Sabino ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).

Marítimo is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Oliveirense is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Marítimo is the clear favorite.

We predict that Marítimo will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marítimo won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Marítimo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Marítimo
Portuguese Liga 2
15.03.26	Leiria - Marítimo	1:2 ✺
08.03.26	Marítimo - Porto B	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Académico de Viseu - Marítimo	3:1 ✺
21.02.26	Marítimo - Sporting Lisbon B	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Vizela - Marítimo	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWLWW
- UD Oliveirense
Portuguese Liga 2
16.03.26	Porto B - Oliveirense	0:0 ✺
07.03.26	Oliveirense - Torreense	0:3 ✺
01.03.26	Paços de Ferreira - Oliveirense	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Oliveirense - Leiria	2:4 ✺
14.02.26	Académico de Viseu - Oliveirense	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
03.11.25	Oliveirense - Marítimo	0:2
10.05.25	Oliveirense - Marítimo	1:1
29.12.24	Marítimo - Oliveirense	1:2
12.05.24	Marítimo - Oliveirense	2:1
06.01.24	Oliveirense - Marítimo	1:1

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