Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 22

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio do Vizela (Caldas de Vizela)

Referee: Neves G. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV1


	Vizela		Marítimo

	1	X	2
	2.8	3	2.5
	2.88	2.98	2.52
	3.24	2.98	2.59
	3.04	2.98	2.5
	2.75	2.9	2.45
	3.11	2.8	2.54	Watch
	3.1	2.8	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.91)	2.92 ↑ (2.62)	2.51 ↓ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vizela
31.1%

Draw
31.9%

Marítimo
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

35.3%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

36%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vizela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Marítimo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vizela than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marítimo than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	60%	20%

Vizela - Marítimo Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Vizela will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Marítimo will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gomis A. (G) 77. Jojo 13. Rocha L. 4. Rhyner J. (C) 20. Godwin O. 45. Ivanov H. 5. Moha Moukhliss 36. Lacava M. 24. Morschel H. 11. Thio 23. Fortune Y.	12. Samu (G) 2. Igor Juliao 5. Madsen N. 44. Correia R. (C) 23. Henrique P. 8. Cruz M. 18. Danilovic V. 10. Tejon M. 28. Carlos Daniel 21. Bouzaidi S. 3. Butzke A.
Substitutes
8. Bastunov A. 22. Busnic A. 18. Demchenko N. 55. Hristov A. 40. Italo Henrique 29. Kitala Y. 7. Loppy D. 21. Ramos R. 25. Ruly (G)	90. Borukov P. 24. Da Rocha Borges R. 25. Freitas A. 20. Gomes Aguiar F. T. 98. Ibrahima 9. Melro J. 1. Pastor A. (G) 7. Pena Zauner E. 17. Xavi Grande
Coaches
Silva N.	Moita M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Igor Juliao ↓, Xavi Grande ↑,
30', Lacava M. 🟨,
38', Moha Moukhliss 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
49', 0 - 1, Henrique P. ⚽,
55', Xavi Grande 🟨,
67', Bouzaidi S. 🟨,
68', Lacava M. ↓, Loppy D. ↑,
71', Cruz M. ↓, Ibrahima ↑,
71', Bouzaidi S. ↓, Pena Zauner E. ↑,
71', Fortune Y. ↓, Kitala Y. ↑,
77', Thio 🟨,
78', Rhyner J. ↓, Hristov A. ↑,
78', Ivanov H. ↓, Bastunov A. ↑,
78', Thio ↓, Ramos R. ↑,
79', 0 - 2, Pena Zauner E. ⚽,
81', 0 - 3, Carlos Daniel ⚽,
86', Danilovic V. 🟨,
86', Butzke A. ↓, Borukov P. ↑,
86', Danilovic V. ↓, Da Rocha Borges R. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vizela won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Vizela may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Vizela won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.5:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Vizela won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 2.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Vizela	6	3	2	1	7:4	3	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Vizela
Portuguese Liga 2
07.02.26	Oliveirense - Vizela	3:0 ✺
31.01.26	Vizela - Portimonense	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Porto B - Vizela	1:0 ✺
21.01.26	Leiria - Vizela	2:2 ✺
15.01.26	Vizela - Paços de Ferreira	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LTLTW
- CS Marítimo
Portuguese Liga 2
07.02.26	Marítimo - Farense	0:1 ✺
01.02.26	Feirense - Marítimo	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Marítimo - Felgueiras	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	Lusitânia - Marítimo	0:4 ✺
11.01.26	Chaves - Marítimo	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
14.09.25	Marítimo - Vizela	1:1
16.05.25	Marítimo - Vizela	1:2
05.01.25	Vizela - Marítimo	3:2
Portuguese League Cup
22.07.23	Vizela - Marítimo	2:1
Liga Portugal
19.05.23	Marítimo - Vizela	1:0
14.01.23	Vizela - Marítimo	3:0
08.05.22	Vizela - Marítimo	1:1

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