Match Info

KENYA: Premier League - Round 20

Date: 9 February 2025, Sunday


	Mara Sugar		Talanta

	1	X	2
	2.12	2.95	3.45
	2.24	2.83	3.27
	2.21	2.98	3.34	Watch
	2.05	3	3.5
	2.2	2.95	3.27
	2.16	2.95	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (2.04)	2.94 ↓ (3.05)	3.36 ↓ (3.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Mara Sugar
42%

Draw
30.9%

Talanta
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

29.9%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

29.1%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mara Sugar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Talanta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mara Sugar than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Talanta than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Mara Sugar - Talanta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
48', 1 - 1, ⚽,
51', 2 - 1, ⚽,
82', 3 - 1, ⚽,
89', 4 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 and 15).

The competitors look crappy now.

Talanta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Mara Sugar will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mara Sugar won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Last Results with these Odds

Talanta - the odds 3.61 are the expected chance of winning is 25.31%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mara Sugar FC
Kenyan Premier League
01.02.25	Kakamega Homeboyz - Mara Sugar	2:0 ✺
27.01.25	Mara Sugar - Police FC	0:1 ✺
18.01.25	Mara Sugar - Mathare United	3:0 ✺
12.01.25	Ulinzi Stars - Mara Sugar	1:0 ✺
21.12.24	Kenya CB - Mara Sugar	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWLL
- FC Talanta
Kenyan Premier League
01.02.25	Talanta - Mathare United	1:1 ✺
25.01.25	Posta Rangers - Talanta	2:1 ✺
18.01.25	AFC Leopards - Talanta	2:4 ✺
11.01.25	Talanta - Kakamega Homeboyz	0:1 ✺
22.12.24	Talanta - Muranga Seal	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
11.12.24	Talanta - Mara Sugar	2:0

Mara Sugar - Talanta: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide