Match Info

KENYA: Premier League - Round 16

Date: 18 January 2025, Saturday


	Mara Sugar		Mathare United

	1	X	2
	2.19	2.9	3.35
	2.24	2.98	3.27	Watch
	2.25	2.8	3.2
	2.18	2.84	3.48
	2.19	2.9	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.32)	2.88 ↑ (2.86)	3.33 ↑ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Mara Sugar
41.2%

Draw
31.5%

Mathare United
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

32%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

31.4%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mara Sugar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Mathare United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mara Sugar than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mathare United than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Mara Sugar - Mathare United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Owino D. ⚽,
44', 2 - 0, Awita B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
80', 3 - 0, Jagongo N. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mara Sugar FC
Kenyan Premier League
12.01.25	Ulinzi Stars - Mara Sugar	1:0 ✺
21.12.24	Kenya CB - Mara Sugar	4:3 ✺
14.12.24	Mara Sugar - Kariobangi Sharks	1:0 ✺
11.12.24	Talanta - Mara Sugar	2:0 ✺
07.12.24	Police FC - Mara Sugar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWLL
- Mathare United
Kenyan Premier League
12.01.25	Mathare United - Kariobangi Sharks	0:0 ✺
21.12.24	Mathare United - Shabana	1:0 ✺
15.12.24	Bandari - Mathare United	2:2 ✺
10.12.24	Mathare United - Muranga Seal	0:2 ✺
07.12.24	Tusker - Mathare United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Super League
22.06.24	Mara Sugar - Mathare United	1:0
22.10.23	Mathare United - Mara Sugar	2:0

Upcoming Matches