Match Info

KENYA: Premier League - Round 19

Date: 1 February 2025, Saturday


	Talanta		Mathare United

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.05	3.7
	1.92	3.06	3.87
	2.01	3.09	3.75	Watch
	2.45	3	2.75
	1.93	3.15	4.07
	1.98	3.05	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.23)	3.07 ↑ (3.04)	3.64 ↑ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Talanta
44.9%

Draw
29.9%

Mathare United
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

30%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

28.7%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Talanta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Mathare United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Talanta than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mathare United than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Talanta - Mathare United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', 1 - 0, Mukok K. (Own goal),
62', 1 - 1, Okola S. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Talanta
Kenyan Premier League
25.01.25	Posta Rangers - Talanta	2:1 ✺
18.01.25	AFC Leopards - Talanta	2:4 ✺
11.01.25	Talanta - Kakamega Homeboyz	0:1 ✺
22.12.24	Talanta - Muranga Seal	0:1 ✺
18.12.24	Talanta - Police FC	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWLLL
- Mathare United
Kenyan Premier League
18.01.25	Mara Sugar - Mathare United	3:0 ✺
12.01.25	Mathare United - Kariobangi Sharks	0:0 ✺
21.12.24	Mathare United - Shabana	1:0 ✺
15.12.24	Bandari - Mathare United	2:2 ✺
10.12.24	Mathare United - Muranga Seal	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
26.10.24	Mathare United - Talanta	2:0
05.04.23	Mathare United - Talanta	3:2
14.01.23	Talanta - Mathare United	3:2
05.02.22	Talanta - Mathare United	0:2
04.12.21	Mathare United - Talanta	0:2

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