Match Info

KENYA: Premier League - Round 17

Date: 11 January 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3


	Talanta		Kakamega Homeboyz

	1	X	2
	3.45	3	2.1
	3.45	3.03	2.14	Watch
	3.4	3.1	2.05
	3.46	2.94	2.13
	3.45	3	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.44 ↑ (2.32)	3.01 ↑ (2.88)	2.1 ↓ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Talanta
26.5%

Draw
30.2%

Kakamega Homeboyz
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

31.5%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

33.1%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Talanta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Talanta's form might have worsened.

Kakamega Homeboyz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kakamega Homeboyz's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Talanta than the current prediction. (+14.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Talanta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kakamega Homeboyz than the current prediction. (-15.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kakamega Homeboyz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	75%	0%

Talanta - Kakamega Homeboyz Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Talanta will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
76', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Premier League (Relegation) and 14).

Talanta is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Homeboyz is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Talanta won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:8 (average 1.4:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Talanta won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1 (average 0.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Talanta
Kenyan Premier League
22.12.24	Talanta - Muranga Seal	0:1 ✺
18.12.24	Talanta - Police FC	0:1 ✺
14.12.24	Nairobi City Stars - Talanta	1:1 ✺
11.12.24	Talanta - Mara Sugar	2:0 ✺
08.12.24	Shabana - Talanta	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLTWL
- Kakamega Homeboyz
Kenyan Premier League
21.12.24	Police FC - Kakamega Homeboyz	1:1 ✺
14.12.24	Kakamega Homeboyz - Ulinzi Stars	1:1 ✺
11.12.24	Posta Rangers - Kakamega Homeboyz	1:1 ✺
07.12.24	Kakamega Homeboyz - AFC Leopards	1:1 ✺
01.12.24	Kakamega Homeboyz - Shabana	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
02.03.24	Talanta - Kakamega Homeboyz	1:1
06.10.23	Kakamega Homeboyz - Talanta	3:3
17.12.22	Kakamega Homeboyz - Talanta	4:2
05.06.22	Talanta - Kakamega Homeboyz	Kakamega Homeboyz awarded
04.01.22	Kakamega Homeboyz - Talanta	0:1

Talanta - Kakamega Homeboyz: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide