Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 1

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio Governador João Castelo (São Luís)


	Maranhão		Guarani

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.25	2.92	2.15
	3.26	3.08	2.24
	3.5	2.9	2.28	Watch
	3.25	2.8	2.15
	3.46	2.88	2.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↑ (2.58)	2.92 ↓ (3.05)	2.19 ↓ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maranhão
27.2%

Draw
31.2%

Guarani
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

29.7%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maranhão has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maranhão's form might have worsened.

Guarani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guarani's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Maranhão - Guarani Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Maranhão will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Guarani will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jean (G) 16. Andre Radija 2. Ball S. 9. Felipe Cruz 18. Keven (C) 25. Maranhao M. 15. Rosivan 14. Tiburcio 20. Vagalume 8. Vander 17. Will	1. Caique Franca (G) 6. Emerson Barbosa 11. Isaque 10. Joao Paulo 4. Jonathan Costa 9. Lucca 21. Mirandinha 5. Rafael Donato (C) 3. Raphael 8. Willian Farias 2. Ynaia
Substitutes
13. Caio Victor 23. Caue (G) 7. Felipe Sales 21. Joelson 10. Jorge Rocha 4. Lucao 3. Luis Fernando 26. Luis Gustavo 11. Pimentinha 19. Rafael Teixeira 22. Rodrigo 12. Victor Guilherme (G)	18. Carlos Eduardo 20. Diego Torres 15. Guilherme Cachoeira 7. Guilherme Parede 17. Hebert 16. Kaua Jesus 19. Kewen 12. Mateus Claus (G) 14. Mauricio Antonio 13. Yan Henrique

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Raphael 🟨,
36', Lucca 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', Mirandinha ↓, Carlos Eduardo ↑,
60', Isaque ↓, Guilherme Cachoeira ↑,
61', Vagalume ↓, Jorge Rocha ↑,
61', Felipe Cruz ↓, Luis Gustavo ↑,
68', Andre Radija 🟨,
70', Ynaia 🟨,
72', Raphael ↓, Hebert ↑,
76', 1 - 0, Luis Gustavo ⚽,
79', Joao Paulo 🟨,
84', Joao Paulo ↓, Kaua Jesus ↑,
84', Lucca ↓, Guilherme Parede ↑,
90', Vander ↓, Pimentinha ↑,
90+7', Guilherme Parede (Penalty Awarded),
90+8', 1 - 1, Hebert ⚽,

Preview

Maranhão is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Maranhão may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Guarani is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Maranhão - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 35.14%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maranhão AC
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
28.03.26	Maranhão - Ferroviário Fortaleza	2:3 ✺
25.03.26	América RN - Maranhão	2:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
12.03.26	Maranhão - Ceará	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Maranhense
01.03.26	IAPE - Maranhão	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
25.02.26	São Luiz - Maranhão	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLLLW
- Guarani Futebol Clube
Copa do Brasil
25.02.26	Castanhal - Guarani	2:1 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
15.02.26	Palmeiras - Guarani	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Guarani - Botafogo SP	0:2 ✺
31.01.26	Guarani - Ponte Preta	1:0 ✺
26.01.26	Portuguesa - Guarani	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 LTLWW

Maranhão - Guarani: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide