Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 26Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
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Marbellí |
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Mancha Real |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.72 |
3.15 |
4.65 |
|
 |
1.74 |
3.19 |
4.72 |
|
 |
1.21 |
5.71 |
12.66 |
 Watch |
 |
1.75 |
3 |
4.75 |
|
 |
1.69 |
3.2 |
5.06 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.62 ↓
(1.75) |
3.65 ↑
(3.17) |
6.37 ↑
(4.79) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Marbellí
58.9% | Draw
26.2% | Mancha Real
15% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marbellí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marbellí's performance.Mancha Real has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marbellí than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marbellí that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mancha Real than the current prediction. (+3.4%)Marbellí - Mancha Real Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 16 in the zone Relegation).Marbellí has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).Mancha Real is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Marbellí may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Marbellí is seen as the favorite.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Marbellí won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 2 | Marbelli | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 13 |
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| 17 | Mancha | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 2 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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