Match Info

SPAIN: Copa del Rey - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio La Rosaleda (Málaga)

Referee: Ruiz A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Marbella		Atlético Madrid

	1	X	2
	15	6.25	1.18	Watch
	15.5	7	1.19
	17	7	1.19	Watch
	12.34	6.43	1.2
	15	6.5	1.18	Watch
	16	7.3	1.18	Watch
	17	7	1.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	15.41 ↑ (10.17)	6.78 ↑ (5.05)	1.19 ↓ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marbella
6.2%

Draw
14%

Atlético Madrid
79.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

9.2%

18.6%

72.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marbella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Atlético Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Madrid's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.9%	0%	94.1%

Marbella - Atlético Madrid Predictions

Users Predictions: Atlético Madrid will win (16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.94% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Martin D. (G) 14. Olguin M. 15. Diori Y. 5. Acosta L. 10. Punal A. 3. Fornes G. 19. Ohemeng E. 6. Duarte J. 11. Soto A. 7. Callejon J. (C) 16. Hanza D.	1. Musso J. (G) 16. Molina N. 24. Le Normand R. 15. Lenglet C. 21. Galan J. 22. Simeone G. 5. de Paul R. 8. Barrios P. 4. Gallagher C. 7. Griezmann A. (C) 19. Alvarez J.
Substitutes
8. Alamo J. 17. Alayeto I. 2. Alvarez J. 12. Assi J. 20. Bernardo 4. Carrasco J. 9. Du Yuezheng 24. Edwards R. 1. Lejarraga A. (G) 21. Munoz P. 23. Pena M. 25. Solsky D. (G)	3. Azpilicueta C. 10. Correa A. 31. Gomis A. (G) 6. Koke 12. Lino S. 14. Llorente M. 23. Mandava R. 17. Riquelme R. 9. Sorloth A. 20. Witsel A.
Coaches
Beltran F.	Vivas N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Griezmann A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Barrios P. ↓, Koke ↑,
60', Alvarez J. ↓, Sorloth A. ↑,
62', Lenglet C. 🟨,
71', Soto A. ↓, Pena M. ↑,
71', Duarte J. ↓, Edwards R. ↑,
73', Galan J. 🟨,
75', Gallagher C. ↓, Llorente M. ↑,
75', de Paul R. ↓, Correa A. ↑,
83', Fornes G. ↓, Alvarez J. ↑,
84', Diori Y. ↓, Du Yuezheng ↑,
85', Olguin M. 🟨,
90', Koke 🟨,
90+1', Acosta L. ↓, Bernardo ↑,

Preview

Recent matches Marbella is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Atlético in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

In this match Atlético is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marbella FC
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
21.12.24	Recreativo Huelva - Marbella	1:3 ✺
14.12.24	Marbella - Betis B	2:2 ✺
08.12.24	Villarreal B - Marbella	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
05.12.24	Marbella - Burgos	1:0 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
01.12.24	Atlético Madrid B - Marbella	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WTTWL
- Atlético Madrid
Spanish LaLiga
21.12.24	Barcelona - Atlético Madrid	1:2 ✺
15.12.24	Atlético Madrid - Getafe	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
11.12.24	Atlético Madrid - Slovan Bratislava	3:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
08.12.24	Atlético Madrid - Sevilla	4:3 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
05.12.24	Cacereño - Atlético Madrid	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WWWWW

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