Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 9

Date: 5 October 2023, Thursday

Location: Estadio Municipal da Malata (Ferrol)

Referee: Reig S. A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Optus Sport


	Ferrol		Amorebieta

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.4	5.75	Watch
	1.66	3.4	5
	1.7	3.5	5	Watch
	1.73	3.61	5.69
	1.83	3.3	4.5
	1.7	3.56	5.2	Watch
	1.7	3.45	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.82)	3.46 ↑ (3.25)	5.19 ↑ (4.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferrol
54.7%

Draw
27.2%

Amorebieta
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

28.8%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

28.3%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferrol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Amorebieta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Ferrol - Amorebieta Predictions

Users Predictions: Ferrol will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Cantero A. (G) 2. Delmas J. 4. Garcia H. J. 15. Castro D. 18. Martinez B. 6. Bernal J. 10. Sene J. 23. Vicente C. 22. Losada I. 7. Pena H. 19. Sabin	30. Campos P. (G) 15. Nunez A. 4. Manu 3. Etxeita X. 28. Garreta F. 21. Carbonell A. 8. Moran E. 7. Dorrio J. 10. Edwards R. 22. Morcillo J. 9. Jauregi E.
Substitutes
17. Chuca 5. Clemente E. 24. Cubero S. 13. Emilio (G) 1. Gazzaniga G. (G) 9. Justo M. 16. Manzanara F. 21. Moi 11. Nacho 14. Vadillo A.	29. Da Graca C. M. 14. Eraso J. 24. Gaya J. 16. Lasure D. 1. Marino U. (G) 27. Quintero L. 17. Rodriguez R. 11. Seguin I. 20. Sibo K.
Coaches
Parralo C.	Mujika H.

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 12 and 16).

Recent matches Ferrol is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Amorebieta is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ferrol could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ferrol is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ferrol won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Ferrol won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Club Ferrol
Spanish LaLiga2
02.10.23	Espanyol - Ferrol	3:0 ✺
25.09.23	Ferrol - Zaragoza	1:0 ✺
17.09.23	Eibar - Ferrol	2:0 ✺
10.09.23	Ferrol - Villarreal B	2:2 ✺
01.09.23	Alcorcón - Ferrol	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWLTT
- SD Amorebieta
Spanish LaLiga2
01.10.23	Amorebieta - Cartagena	0:0 ✺
24.09.23	Villarreal B - Amorebieta	3:1 ✺
17.09.23	Amorebieta - Mirandés	2:0 ✺
10.09.23	Racing Santander - Amorebieta	1:0 ✺
03.09.23	Espanyol - Amorebieta	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Primera RFEF Play Offs
10.06.23	Ferrol - Amorebieta	2:0
03.06.23	Amorebieta - Ferrol	3:0

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