Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 9 - ROUND 30

Date: 23 April 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Marbella (Marbella)


	Marbella		Real Jaén

	1	X	2
	2.43	2.91	2.71
	2.51	3.08	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (1.73)	3 ↓ (3.33)	2.73 ↓ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marbella
36.6%

Draw
30.2%

Real Jaén
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

27%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

26%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marbella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marbella's form might have worsened.

Real Jaén has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Jaén's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marbella than the current prediction. (+17.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marbella, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Jaén than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Jaén, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 9 (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Marbella won 2.

Marbella in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Jaén is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Jaén have a series of home games.

Marbella will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Marbella won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Marbella won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marbella FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
16.04.23	Huétor Tájar - Marbella	0:4 ✺
01.04.23	Marbella - Huracán Melilla	10:0 ✺
26.03.23	Almeria B - Marbella	0:3 ✺
19.03.23	Marbella - Malaga B	2:0 ✺
12.03.23	Arenas Armilla - Marbella	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWWW
- Real Jaén
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
16.04.23	Real Jaén - Málaga Juniors	4:1 ✺
01.04.23	Real Jaén - Huétor Tájar	2:1 ✺
26.03.23	Huracán Melilla - Real Jaén	0:6 ✺
Club Friendly
23.03.23	Real Jaén - Getafe	2:3 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
19.03.23	Real Jaén - Almeria B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
18.12.22	Real Jaén - Marbella	2:0
20.02.22	Marbella - Real Jaén	5:2
24.10.21	Real Jaén - Marbella	0:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
08.04.17	Real Jaén - Marbella	2:0
13.11.16	Marbella - Real Jaén	2:2
24.03.16	Marbella - Real Jaén	0:1
08.11.15	Real Jaén - Marbella	0:1

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