Match Info

Date: 9 January 2022, Sunday


	Marchamalo		Hércules

	1	X	2
	7.5	3.8	1.41
	7	4.35	1.35
	6.4	4	1.42
	8.32	4.17	1.42
	9	4.2	1.32
	6.85	4.15	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.51 ↓ (10)	4.11 ↓ (4.32)	1.39 ↑ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marchamalo
12.2%

Draw
22.2%

Hércules
65.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

9.1%

21%

69.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

8.2%

18.9%

77.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marchamalo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Hércules has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marchamalo than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hércules than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hércules could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Marchamalo - Hércules Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Marchamalo has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Hércules is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

In this match Hércules is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Marchamalo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
18.12.21	Eldense - Marchamalo	4:0 ✺
12.12.21	Marchamalo - La Nucía	0:3 ✺
05.12.21	El Ejido - Marchamalo	2:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.11.21	Marchamalo - Valladolid	0:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
27.11.21	Marchamalo - Levante B	1:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLTLL
- Hércules CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
19.12.21	Hércules - Deportivo Toledo	1:0 ✺
12.12.21	Mancha Real - Hércules	1:2 ✺
05.12.21	Hércules - Águilas	2:1 ✺
28.11.21	Melilla - Hércules	1:2 ✺
21.11.21	Hércules - Real Murcia	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WWWWW

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