Match Info

HNL - Round 5

Date: 31 August 2026, Monday

Location: Gradski stadion Velika Gorica (Velika Gorica)

Referee: Terzic A. (Cro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Gorica		Rijeka

	1	X	2
	5	3.5	1.57
	5.00	3.80	1.65
	5.1	3.65	1.6
	5.91	3.75	1.67
	5.65	3.68	1.63	Watch
	5.75	3.6	1.58
	5.2	3.74	1.63	Watch
	4.9	3.65	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.31 ↓ (5.84)	3.67 ↓ (3.77)	1.62 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gorica
17.4%

Draw
25.2%

Rijeka
57.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.8%

24.5%

59.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.5%

24.1%

60.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gorica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Rijeka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gorica than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rijeka than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Gorica - Rijeka Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gorica (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Rijeka will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Josipovic R. (G) 2. Braut F. 45. Peric S. 15. Stevanovic D. 34. Cvijanovic I. 6. Lacoux T. 36. Kavelj A. 8. Pranjic J. 24. Pavicic D. (C) 25. Bogojevic B. 9. Mijic P.	13. Vekic I. (G) 22. Orec A. 45. Majstorovic A. (C) 51. Husic A. 34. Devetak M. 26. Dantas T. 6. Pavic B. 19. Vignato S. 10. Fruk T. 4. Jankovic N. 18. Adu Adjei D.
Substitutes
7. Bakic O. 4. Custovic K. 32. Filipovic J. 66. Frigan J. 99. Gashi M. 18. Kardum B. 14. Kucis S. 71. Matijas D. (G) 20. Vrzic L. 30. Zarkov D. (G)	5. Barco A. 91. Bodetic N. 8. Cubelic I. 14. Gojak A. 15. Grulovic G. 77. Juric A. 7. Kabadayi Y. 1. Kovac V. (G) 23. Lasickas J. 21. Puljic J. 99. Todorovic A. (G) 3. Zivkovic M.
Coaches
Carevic M.	Kek M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Devetak M. ↓, Lasickas J. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Lacoux T. ↓, Kucis S. ↑,
58', Husic A. 🟨,
65', Jankovic N. ↓, Kabadayi Y. ↑,
65', Vignato S. ↓, Gojak A. ↑,
67', Pranjic J. ↓, Vrzic L. ↑,
78', Bogojevic B. ↓, Custovic K. ↑,
78', Stevanovic D. ↓, Filipovic J. ↑,
78', Adu Adjei D. ↓, Puljic J. ↑,
78', Dantas T. ↓, Cubelic I. ↑,
82', Cubelic I. 🟨,
87', Kavelj A. ↓, Frigan J. ↑,
90+3', Puljic J. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gorica won 1.

Gorica is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Rijeka is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Gorica may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Rijeka is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Gorica: Erceg A. (Inactive) Sule W. (Inactive)

There will not play in Rijeka: Barisic T. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gorica won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 16:29. (average 0.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Gorica won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.1:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Rijeka	7	4	2	1	13:7	6	14
10	Gorica	9	1	2	6	6:14	-8	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HNK Gorica
Croatian HNL
22.08.26	Slaven Belupo - Gorica	2:0 ✺
16.08.26	Gorica - Hajduk Split	1:2 ✺
08.08.26	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Gorica	3:1 ✺
01.08.26	Gorica - Osijek	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
23.07.26	Gorica - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- HNK Rijeka
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.08.26	Rijeka - Midtjylland	1:4 ✺
Croatian HNL
23.08.26	Rijeka - Istra 1961	3:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
20.08.26	Midtjylland - Rijeka	2:0 ✺
Croatian HNL
16.08.26	Varaždin - Rijeka	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
13.08.26	Ilves - Rijeka	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Croatian HNL
23.05.26	Rijeka - Gorica	2:0
22.03.26	Gorica - Rijeka	4:0
21.12.25	Rijeka - Gorica	1:0
05.10.25	Gorica - Rijeka	1:3
04.05.25	Rijeka - Gorica	2:1
01.03.25	Gorica - Rijeka	0:0
30.11.24	Rijeka - Gorica	1:0

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