Match Info

HNL - Round 30

Date: 17 April 2026, Friday

Location: Gradski stadion Velika Gorica (Velika Gorica)

Referee: Melnjak A. (Cro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Serbia	Arena Sport 9
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1


	Gorica		Lokomotiva Zagreb

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.2	2.9
	2.25	3.25	3
	2.36	3.4	3.18
	2.2	3.57	3.04	Watch
	2.25	3.1	3
	2.33	3.38	3.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.17)	3.32 ↑ (3.28)	3.03 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Gorica
41.1%

Draw
28.1%

Lokomotiva Zagreb
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

28.2%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

27.6%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gorica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Lokomotiva Zagreb has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gorica than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiva Zagreb than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Gorica - Lokomotiva Zagreb Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Gorica will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Lokomotiva will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gorica: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
71. Matijas D. (G) 45. Peric S. 4. Filipovic J. 19. Cabraja M. 22. Trontelj Z. 7. Bakic O. 36. Kavelj A. 25. Bogojevic B. 10. Prsir J. (C) 64. Epailly T. 11. Sule W.	12. Posavec J. (G) 23. Vesovic M. 20. Kolinger D. (C) 16. Dajcer L. 17. Pajac M. 6. Boskovic B. 10. Subotic M. 29. Vasilj J. 28. Belcar L. 11. Susak M. 15. Stojakovic A.
Substitutes
32. Durakovic E. 50. Erceg A. 18. Fiolic I. 99. Gashi M. 35. Josic Z. 14. Kucis S. 5. Les M. 21. Moustapha H. I. 1. Sahinovic M. (G) 20. Vrzic L. 30. Zarkov D. (G)	33. Kamenovic D. 2. Kralevski T. 14. Lorber M. 19. Posavac F. 9. Sabra I. 32. Savatovic L. (G) 25. Smiljanic P. 7. Trajkovski A. 30. Vukovic D.
Coaches
Carevic M.	Jelavic N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, Susak M. ⚽, Belcar L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Sule W. ↓, Erceg A. ↑,
52', Prsir J. 🟨,
64', Epailly T. ↓, Fiolic I. ↑,
64', Bakic O. ↓, Kucis S. ↑,
68', Susak M. ↓, Sabra I. ↑,
68', 0 - 2, Vasilj J. ⚽, Stojakovic A. (A),
78', Kavelj A. ↓, Vrzic L. ↑,
78', Stojakovic A. ↓, Vukovic D. ↑,
81', Kolinger D. 🟨,
84', Bogojevic B. ↓, Gashi M. ↑,
89', Subotic M. ↓, Kralevski T. ↑,
89', Vasilj J. ↓, Lorber M. ↑,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 8 and 7)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gorica won 2.

Gorica has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Lokomotiva is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Lokomotiva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Gorica will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Gorica: Erceg A. (Inactive) Pavicic D. (Yellow Cards) Pozo I. (Inactive)

There will not play in Lokomotiva: Jukic T. (Red Card) Katic I. (Shoulder Injury) Leovac M. (Injury) Sigali L. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gorica won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 24:30. (average 1.2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Gorica won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.7:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Lok. Zagreb	8	2	1	5	11:16	-5	7
10	Gorica	9	1	2	6	6:14	-8	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HNK Gorica
Croatian HNL
12.04.26	Hajduk Split - Gorica	1:0 ✺
Croatian Cup
08.04.26	Gorica - Dinamo Zagreb	3:6 ✺
Croatian HNL
03.04.26	Varaždin - Gorica	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Gorica - Rijeka	4:0 ✺
14.03.26	Osijek - Gorica	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LLTWT
- NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Croatian HNL
11.04.26	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Istra 1961	2:0 ✺
07.04.26	Vukovar 91 - Lokomotiva Zagreb	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Dinamo Zagreb	0:5 ✺
15.03.26	Hajduk Split - Lokomotiva Zagreb	2:1 ✺
Croatian Cup
10.03.26	Slaven Belupo - Lokomotiva Zagreb	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Croatian HNL
06.02.26	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Gorica	3:0
03.11.25	Gorica - Lokomotiva Zagreb	4:1
16.08.25	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Gorica	1:3
24.05.25	Gorica - Lokomotiva Zagreb	0:3
28.03.25	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Gorica	1:1
Club Friendly
10.01.25	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Gorica	2:0
Croatian HNL
21.12.24	Gorica - Lokomotiva Zagreb	1:4

Upcoming Matches