Match Info
HNL - Round 30Date: 17 April 2026, FridayLocation: Gradski stadion Velika Gorica (Velika Gorica)Referee: Melnjak A. (Cro)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 9 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 |
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Gorica |
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Lokomotiva Zagreb |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.2 |
3.2 |
2.9 |
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 |
2.25 |
3.25 |
3 |
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 |
2.36 |
3.4 |
3.18 |
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2.2 |
3.57 |
3.04 |
 Watch |
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2.25 |
3.1 |
3 |
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2.33 |
3.38 |
3.06 |
Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.27 ↑
(2.17) |
3.32 ↑
(3.28) |
3.03 ↓
(3.15) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Gorica
41.1% | Draw
28.1% | Lokomotiva Zagreb
30.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gorica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Lokomotiva Zagreb has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gorica than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiva Zagreb than the current prediction. (-2.2%)Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Gorica will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Lokomotiva will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gorica: 15.4% โ 84.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
71.  Matijas D. (G)
45.  Peric S.
4. Filipovic J.
19. Cabraja M.
22.  Trontelj Z.
7.  Bakic O.
36. Kavelj A.
25. Bogojevic B.
10. Prsir J. (C)
64.  Epailly T.
11.  Sule W.
| 12. Posavec J. (G)
23. Vesovic M.
20. Kolinger D. (C)
16. Dajcer L.
17. Pajac M.
6.  Boskovic B.
10. Subotic M.
29. Vasilj J.
28. Belcar L.
11. Susak M.
15. Stojakovic A.
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| Substitutes |
32. Durakovic E.
50. Erceg A.
18. Fiolic I.
99.  Gashi M.
35. Josic Z.
14. Kucis S.
5. Les M.
21.  Moustapha H. I.
1. Sahinovic M. (G)
20. Vrzic L.
30. Zarkov D. (G)
| 33.  Kamenovic D.
2. Kralevski T.
14. Lorber M.
19. Posavac F.
9.  Sabra I.
32. Savatovic L. (G)
25. Smiljanic P.
7.  Trajkovski A.
30. Vukovic D.
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| Coaches |
Carevic M.
| Jelavic N.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 36', 0 - 1, Susak M. ⚽, Belcar L. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Sule W. ↓, Erceg A. ↑,
- 52', Prsir J. 🟨,
- 64', Epailly T. ↓, Fiolic I. ↑,
- 64', Bakic O. ↓, Kucis S. ↑,
- 68', Susak M. ↓, Sabra I. ↑,
- 68', 0 - 2, Vasilj J. ⚽, Stojakovic A. (A),
- 78', Kavelj A. ↓, Vrzic L. ↑,
- 78', Stojakovic A. ↓, Vukovic D. ↑,
- 81', Kolinger D. 🟨,
- 84', Bogojevic B. ↓, Gashi M. ↑,
- 89', Subotic M. ↓, Kralevski T. ↑,
- 89', Vasilj J. ↓, Lorber M. ↑,
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 8 and 7)In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gorica won 2.Gorica has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).Lokomotiva is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).Lokomotiva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Gorica will hold a modest advantage in this match.There will not play in Gorica: Erceg A.
(Inactive)
Pavicic D.
(Yellow Cards)
Pozo I.
(Inactive)There will not play in Lokomotiva: Jukic T.
(Red Card)
Katic I.
(Shoulder Injury)
Leovac M.
(Injury)
Sigali L.
(Injury)In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gorica won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 24:30. (average 1.2:1.5).Including home matches between the teams, Gorica won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.7:1.4).
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Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 7 | Lok. Zagreb | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 6 |
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| 10 | Gorica | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2:10 | -8 | 1 |
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Croatian HNL | | | 06.02.26 | Lokomotiva Zagreb - Gorica | 3:0 | | 03.11.25 | Gorica - Lokomotiva Zagreb | 4:1 | | 16.08.25 | Lokomotiva Zagreb - Gorica | 1:3 | | 24.05.25 | Gorica - Lokomotiva Zagreb | 0:3 | | 28.03.25 | Lokomotiva Zagreb - Gorica | 1:1 | | Club Friendly | | | 10.01.25 | Lokomotiva Zagreb - Gorica | 2:0 | | Croatian HNL | | | 21.12.24 | Gorica - Lokomotiva Zagreb | 1:4 |
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