Match Info
Serie D - Round 3Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday
|
 |
|
 |
|
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Maricá |
|
Sampaio Corrêa FE |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.93 |
3.09 |
4 |
|
 |
1.9 |
3.17 |
4.05 |
 Watch |
 |
1.91 |
3 |
3.75 |
|
 |
1.91 |
3.06 |
3.99 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.91 ↓
(2.1) |
3.08 ↑
(2.94) |
3.95 ↑
(3.5) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Maricá
47.5% | Draw
29.5% | Sampaio Corrêa FE
23% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Maricá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)Sampaio Corrêa FE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maricá than the current prediction. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampaio Corrêa FE than the current prediction. (+2.3%)Maricá - Sampaio Corrêa FE Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 10', 1 - 0, Pablo Thomaz ⚽,
- 15', 1 - 1, Lucas Marreta ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 70', 1 - 2, Ewerton Potiguar ⚽,
- 75', 2 - 2, Victor Pereira ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maricá won 1.Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.Sampaio Corrêa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Maricá will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Maricá won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:16. (average 0.8:1.5).Including home matches between the teams, Maricá won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 0.9:1.6).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Brazilian Campeonato Carioca | | | 26.02.26 | Sampaio Corrêa FE - Maricá | 2:1 | | 12.02.26 | Maricá - Sampaio Corrêa FE | 0:4 | | 27.01.26 | Maricá - Sampaio Corrêa FE | 0:1 | | 26.01.25 | Maricá - Sampaio Corrêa FE | 2:2 | | Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2 | | | 28.05.23 | Maricá - Sampaio Corrêa FE | 1:0 | | 30.04.22 | Maricá - Sampaio Corrêa FE | 1:2 | | 26.06.21 | Maricá - Sampaio Corrêa FE | 1:0 |
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