Match Info

LITHUANIA: LITHUANIAN CUP - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 23 May 2023, Tuesday


	Marijampolė City		Banga Gargždai

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.8	4	1.51
	5	4	1.5
	3.54	4.17	1.71
	5.25	3.7	1.5
	5.45	4.15	1.51
	5	4	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.84 ↑ (3.98)	4 ↑ (3.73)	1.54 ↓ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marijampolė City
18.7%

Draw
22.6%

Banga Gargždai
58.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.9%

24.5%

52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

24.2%

51.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marijampolė City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Banga Gargždai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Banga Gargždai's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marijampolė City than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Banga Gargždai than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Banga Gargždai, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	11.1%	55.6%

Marijampolė City - Banga Gargždai Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Marijampolė City will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Banga will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Banga: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Marijampolė City is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Banga is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Banga is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marijampolė City
Lithuanian Division 2
19.05.23	Marijampolė City - Nevėžis	1:0 ✺
13.05.23	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Marijampolė City	1:2 ✺
30.04.23	Marijampolė City - Kauno Žalgiris 2	2:0 ✺
23.04.23	Marijampolė City - Babrungas Plungė	0:3 ✺
15.04.23	BFA Vilnius - Marijampolė City	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWWLW
- Banga Gargždai
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
19.05.23	Hegelmann Litauen - Banga Gargždai	5:0 ✺
14.05.23	Džiugas Telšiai - Banga Gargždai	1:2 ✺
Lithuanian Cup
07.05.23	Babrungas Plungė - Banga Gargždai	0:3 ✺
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
03.05.23	Banga Gargždai - Dainava Alytus	2:1 ✺
30.04.23	Banga Gargždai - Žalgiris	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWWWL

Marijampolė City - Banga Gargždai: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide