Match Info
National League North - Round 45Date: 18 April 2026, SaturdayLocation: Rossett Park (Crosby)
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Marine |
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Alfreton Town |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.95 |
3.2 |
3.4 |
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2 |
3.2 |
3.55 |
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2.04 |
3.3 |
3.77 |
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2 |
3.36 |
3.69 |
 Watch |
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2.05 |
3 |
3.6 |
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1.96 |
3.15 |
3.68 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2 ↓
(2.12) |
3.2 ↓
(3.7) |
3.62 ↑
(2.99) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Marine
45.9% | Draw
28.7% | Alfreton Town
25.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Alfreton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alfreton Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marine than the current prediction. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alfreton Town than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alfreton Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Marine - Alfreton Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 32', 1 - 0, Sinclair-Smith F. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 59', 1 - 1, Ligendza S. ⚽,
- 75', 1 - 2, Ligendza S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 84', 2 - 2, Newell G. ⚽,
- 90+1', 2 - 3, Salmon L. ⚽,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 21 in the zone Relegation).Marine has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).Alfreton is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).Alfreton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, Alfreton has had a series of home games. Marine will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Marine won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1).Including home match between the teams, Marine won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
Outrights of English National League North for now
Marine: 0.73%
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 16 | Marine | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 12:12 | 0 | 12 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Marine - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 43.82%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
