Match Info
National League North - Round 44Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday
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Alfreton Town |
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Oxford City |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.6 |
3.1 |
2.5 |
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2.68 |
3.2 |
2.48 |
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2.75 |
3.15 |
2.61 |
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2.66 |
3.37 |
2.52 |
 Watch |
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2.7 |
3 |
2.5 |
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2.63 |
3.04 |
2.5 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.67 ↑
(2.56) |
3.14 ↓
(3.32) |
2.52 ↓
(2.52) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Alfreton Town
34.4% | Draw
29.2% | Oxford City
36.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alfreton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)The chances for Oxford City have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alfreton Town than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford City than the current prediction. (+0.5%)Alfreton Town - Oxford City Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 7', 0 - 1, Clark E. ⚽,
- 22', Newall J. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 51', 1 - 1, Youmbi D. ⚽,
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 19).In recent matches, Alfreton has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).Oxford City is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).Oxford City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Alfreton won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:7. (average 1:2.3).Including home match between the teams, Alfreton won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
Outrights of English National League North for now
Oxford City: 5.6%
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 3 | Oxford City | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18:7 | 11 | 20 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Alfreton Town - the odds 2.56 are the expected chance of winning is 35.88%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
Oxford City - the odds 2.52 are the expected chance of winning is 36.45%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| English National League North | | | 02.09.25 | Oxford City - Alfreton Town | 5:0 | | 15.03.25 | Alfreton Town - Oxford City | 1:1 | | 19.11.24 | Oxford City - Alfreton Town | 1:2 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
