Match Info
National League North - Round 41Date: 14 April 2026, TuesdayLocation: Rossett Park (Crosby)
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Marine |
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Merthyr Town |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2 |
3.6 |
2.9 |
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2.08 |
3.65 |
2.98 |
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2.08 |
3.63 |
3.24 |
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2.08 |
3.72 |
3.13 |
 Watch |
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2.05 |
3.5 |
3.1 |
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2.1 |
3.78 |
3.05 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.07 ↓
(2.37) |
3.65 ↓
(3.68) |
3.07 ↑
(2.47) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
- The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Marine
44.7% | Draw
25.3% | Merthyr Town
30.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marine's performance.Merthyr Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Merthyr Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marine than the current prediction. (-8.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marine that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (+8.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Merthyr Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Marine - Merthyr Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 7', Drysdale D. 🟥,
- 9', 0 - 1, Maddox J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 66', 0 - 2, Maddox J. ⚽,
- 78', 0 - 3, Thomas J. ⚽,
- 81', 1 - 3, Fielding S. ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 8).In recent matches, Marine has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).Merthyr has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).Marine may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Marine won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
Outrights of English National League North for now
Merthyr Town: 1.46% Marine: 0.73%
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 13 | Merthyr Town | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 13 |
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| 16 | Marine | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 12:12 | 0 | 12 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Merthyr Town - the odds 2.47 are the expected chance of winning is 36.84%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
