Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 19

Date: 25 November 2023, Saturday


	Ilkeston		Stafford Rangers

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.9	3.6
	1.75	3.75	3.75
	1.81	4.04	3.56
	1.82	4.04	3.56
	1.57	4.33	4
	1.74	3.78	3.8
	1.75	3.75	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.59)	3.94 ↓ (4.33)	3.72 ↓ (4.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilkeston
52.4%

Draw
23.1%

Stafford Rangers
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

20.9%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

18.7%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilkeston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Stafford Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilkeston than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stafford Rangers than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Ilkeston - Stafford Rangers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ilkeston won 1.

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Stafford could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ilkeston is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Ilkeston won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Ilkeston won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ilkeston FC
English NPL Premier Division
21.11.23	Ilkeston - Ashton United	2:2 ✺
18.11.23	Morpeth Town - Ilkeston	2:1 ✺
11.11.23	Ilkeston - Warrington Rylands	0:1 ✺
04.11.23	Atherton Collieries - Ilkeston	2:3 ✺
24.10.23	Hyde United - Ilkeston	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TLLWL
- Stafford Rangers
English FA Trophy
18.11.23	Stafford Rangers - Brackley Town	0:1 penalties ✺
English NPL Premier Division
14.11.23	Worksop Town - Stafford Rangers	5:0 ✺
11.11.23	Stafford Rangers - Morpeth Town	0:3 ✺
English FA Trophy
28.10.23	Stafford Rangers - Quorn	5:3 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
24.10.23	Radcliffe - Stafford Rangers	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
14.03.17	Ilkeston - Stafford Rangers	1:2
07.01.17	Stafford Rangers - Ilkeston	2:1
16.11.13	Ilkeston - Stafford Rangers	0:0
31.08.13	Stafford Rangers - Ilkeston	2:2

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