Match Info

ENGLAND: National League North - Round 14

Date: 26 October 2024, Saturday


	Buxton		Needham Market

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.5	3.8
	1.77	3.3	3.9
	1.78	3.5	4.33
	1.89	3.57	4.29
	1.87	3.54	4.03	Watch
	1.77	3.54	4.27
	1.78	3.5	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.75)	3.49 ↓ (3.58)	4.14 ↓ (4.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Buxton
51.1%

Draw
26.5%

Needham Market
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

25.6%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

24.7%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Buxton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Needham Market has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buxton than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Needham Market than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Buxton - Needham Market Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (6 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Elliott T. ⚽,
15', 2 - 0, Coleman C. ⚽,
23', 3 - 0, Coleman C. ⚽,
25', 3 - 1, Valentine N. ⚽,
34', 4 - 1, Elliott T. ⚽,
40', 5 - 1, Elliott T. ⚽,
45+1', 6 - 1, Kirby C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
88', 7 - 1, De Girolamo D. ⚽,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 17 and 24 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

In this match Buxton is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Buxton FC
English National League North
22.10.24	Chester - Buxton	0:1 ✺
19.10.24	King`s Lynn Town - Buxton	2:0 ✺
12.10.24	Buxton - Hereford	1:2 ✺
05.10.24	Buxton - Curzon Ashton	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
01.10.24	Kidderminster Harriers - Buxton	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLLLL
- Needham Market
English National League North
22.10.24	Needham Market - Brackley Town	1:3 ✺
19.10.24	Needham Market - Kidderminster Harriers	0:3 ✺
12.10.24	Chorley - Needham Market	1:0 ✺
05.10.24	Needham Market - South Shields	3:0 ✺
21.09.24	Oxford City - Needham Market	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLLWL

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