Match Info

ENGLAND: National League North - Round 15

Date: 2 November 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Needham Market		Spennymoor Town

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.7	1.67
	4.2	3.6	1.66
	4.5	3.75	1.7
	4.47	3.72	1.7
	4.59	3.87	1.7
	4.6	3.75	1.62
	4.6	3.82	1.66
	4.5	3.75	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.46 ↑ (4.05)	3.75 ↓ (3.81)	1.68 ↓ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Needham Market
20.6%

Draw
24.5%

Spennymoor Town
54.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

22.6%

24%

53.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.5%

23.1%

51.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Needham Market has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Spennymoor Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Needham Market than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spennymoor Town than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Needham Market - Spennymoor Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
77', 0 - 1, Mondal J. ⚽,
90+5', 1 - 1, Chambers S. ⚽,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Needham is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Spennymoor is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Spennymoor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Spennymoor is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Needham Market
English National League North
26.10.24	Buxton - Needham Market	7:1 ✺
22.10.24	Needham Market - Brackley Town	1:3 ✺
19.10.24	Needham Market - Kidderminster Harriers	0:3 ✺
12.10.24	Chorley - Needham Market	1:0 ✺
05.10.24	Needham Market - South Shields	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLLLW
- Spennymoor Town
English National League North
29.10.24	Spennymoor Town - King`s Lynn Town	1:2 ✺
26.10.24	Spennymoor Town - Chorley	1:2 ✺
22.10.24	Alfreton Town - Spennymoor Town	0:1 ✺
18.10.24	Farsley - Spennymoor Town	0:3 ✺
English FA Cup
12.10.24	Alfreton Town - Spennymoor Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLWWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Needham Market
English Southern League Central Division
31.10.26	Redditch United - Needham Market	✺
- Spennymoor Town
English National League North
31.10.26	Spennymoor Town - Chorley	✺

Needham Market - Spennymoor Town