Match Info

ENGLAND: National League North - Round 17

Date: 9 November 2024, Saturday


	Needham Market		Chester

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.6	1.75
	3.9	3.4	1.75
	4.2	3.4	1.83
	4.3	3.47	1.84
	4.27	3.51	1.83
	4.33	3.4	1.73
	4.35	3.52	1.76
	4.2	3.4	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.16 ↑ (4.08)	3.46 ↓ (3.7)	1.79 ↑ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Needham Market
22.1%

Draw
26.6%

Chester
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.4%

24.7%

52.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

22.2%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Needham Market has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Chester has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Needham Market than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chester than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Needham Market - Chester Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
86', 0 - 1, Burke H. ⚽,
90+2', Garnham M. 🟥,
90+4', Willoughby K. (Pen),

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

In this match Chester is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Needham Market
English National League North
05.11.24	Rushall Olympic - Needham Market	1:1 ✺
02.11.24	Needham Market - Spennymoor Town	1:1 ✺
26.10.24	Buxton - Needham Market	7:1 ✺
22.10.24	Needham Market - Brackley Town	1:3 ✺
19.10.24	Needham Market - Kidderminster Harriers	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TTLLL
- Chester City
English National League North
05.11.24	Darlington - Chester	1:0 ✺
02.11.24	Chester - Hereford	3:0 ✺
26.10.24	Curzon Ashton - Chester	4:0 ✺
22.10.24	Chester - Buxton	0:1 ✺
19.10.24	Chester - Scunthorpe United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWLLT

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