Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL Premier Division - Round 36

Date: 22 March 2025, Saturday


	Basford United		Workington

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.8	2.11
	2.83	4.04	2.15	Watch
	2.75	3.6	2.1
	2.79	3.78	2.1
	2.75	3.8	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↓ (2.79)	3.8 ↑ (3.79)	2.11 ↓ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basford United
32.9%

Draw
24%

Workington
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

24.2%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

23.5%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Workington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basford United than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Workington than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Basford United - Workington Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Pani C. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
72', Rigg S. 🟥,
82', 1 - 1, Williamson J. ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 1, Gascoigne B. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 15).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Recently Workington have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Basford won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9:12 (average 1.8:2.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Basford won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:5 (average 1.5:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Basford United
English NPL Premier Division
15.03.25	Whitby Town - Basford United	1:0 ✺
08.03.25	Basford United - Lancaster City	0:4 ✺
01.03.25	Stockton Town - Basford United	1:1 ✺
22.02.25	Basford United - Warrington Rylands	1:1 ✺
15.02.25	Basford United - Matlock Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LLTTW
- Workington
English NPL Premier Division
15.03.25	Workington - Gainsborough Trinity	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Workington - Blyth Spartans	4:1 ✺
01.03.25	Workington - United of Manchester	0:1 ✺
22.02.25	Worksop Town - Workington	4:2 ✺
15.02.25	Workington - Hyde United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
26.11.24	Workington - Basford United	2:0
18.11.23	Basford United - Workington	0:3
09.09.23	Workington - Basford United	5:3
16.02.19	Workington - Basford United	0:3
29.09.18	Basford United - Workington	3:2

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