Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 16

Date: 9 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Willie Davids (Maringá)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Maringá		Amazonas

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.51	3.80	5.25
	1.50	4.00	6.00	Watch
	1.53	3.85	5.86
	1.5	4.07	6.31	Watch
	1.50	3.70	5.55
	1.51	3.72	5.88	Watch
	1.51	3.70	5.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.47)	3.83 ↓ (4.2)	5.75 ↓ (6.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maringá
60.4%

Draw
23.8%

Amazonas
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.1%

22.1%

14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7%

20.9%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maringá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Amazonas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maringá than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maringá, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amazonas than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Maringá - Amazonas Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Maringá (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Maringá (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Maringá (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Neto (G) 99. Caique Calito 2. Gabriel Souza 9. Giovane Gomez 10. Guilherme Pira 18. Jhow Alecxander 5. Kelvi Gomes 23. Paulinho 21. Ronald Camarao 6. Thiago Rosa 4. Wendel Lomar (C)	1. Joao Lopes (G) 13. Alyson 14. Diego Ivo (C) 25. Italo Silva 4. Iury 8. Jhonny Lucas 3. Marcondes 5. Panzariello I. 10. Rafael Tavares 9. Ronaldo 20. Schiappacasse N.
Substitutes
8. Adeilson 1. Affonso de Jesus G. (G) 20. Bruno Cheron 11. Danielzinho 7. Edison Negueba 3. Gabriel Santos 17. Iago Santana 28. Lucas Bonifacio 77. Rafinha 29. Rai Natalino 30. Ronald Carvalho 37. Serginho	18. Abbade L. 12. Axel Lopes (G) 30. Bernardo Daciolo 19. Campos P. 22. Carlinhos 21. Graffin A. 16. Jonas 17. Kauan Firmo 15. Raylison Pacheco 11. Vinicius Leite
Coaches
Moises Egert	Rodrigo Santana

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Schiappacasse N. ⚽,
22', Jhow Alecxander 🟨,
31', 0 - 2, Rafael Tavares ⚽,
40', Alyson 🟨,
43', Guilherme Pira ↓, Serginho ↑,
45+4', Italo Silva 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Rafael Tavares ↓, Bernardo Daciolo ↑,
46', Gabriel Souza ↓, Ronald Carvalho ↑,
46', Paulinho ↓, Danielzinho ↑,
51', 0 - 3, Schiappacasse N. ⚽,
56', Thiago Rosa ↓, Edison Negueba ↑,
58', Ronaldo 🟨,
69', Giovane Gomez ↓, Rai Natalino ↑,
71', Schiappacasse N. ↓, Vinicius Leite ↑,
87', Jhonny Lucas 🟨,
90+3', Danielzinho 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 14).

Maringá is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Amazonas is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Maringá has had a series of away games.

In this match, Maringá is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Maringá won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Including home match between the teams, Maringá won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Outrights of Brazilian Serie C for now

Maringa FC: 6.99%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maringá FC
Brazilian Serie C
27.07.26	Floresta - Maringá	1:1 ✺
12.07.26	Anápolis - Maringá	0:1 ✺
04.07.26	Maringá - Volta Redonda	4:0 ✺
27.06.26	Internacional de Limeira - Maringá	2:2 ✺
21.06.26	Caxias - Maringá	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TWWTT
- Amazonas FC
Brazilian Serie C
26.07.26	Amazonas - Paysandu	2:1 ✺
12.07.26	Internacional de Limeira - Amazonas	1:0 ✺
06.07.26	Amazonas - Itabaiana	0:2 ✺
30.06.26	Volta Redonda - Amazonas	3:0 ✺
21.06.26	Barra Santa Catarina - Amazonas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
14.03.24	Maringá - Amazonas	0:1

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