Match Info

Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 April 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estádio Willie Davids (Maringá)


	Maringá		Atlético Mineiro

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.3	1.8
	4.33	3.2	1.75
	4.8	3.3	1.79
	5.25	3.35	1.76
	5	3.1	1.84	Watch
	4.5	3.3	1.8
	4.84	3.5	1.76
	4.8	3.3	1.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.78 ↑ (4.55)	3.29 ↓ (3.73)	1.79 ↑ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maringá
19.5%

Draw
28.3%

Atlético Mineiro
52.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.4%

24.8%

54.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.4%

26.1%

57.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maringá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maringá than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Mineiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Maringá - Atlético Mineiro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
42. Rafael William (G) 13. Tito 4. Vilar 23. Max Miller 22. Raphinha 14. Buga 3. Ronald Carvalho (C) 10. Leo Ceara 7. Edison Negueba 9. Moraes 99. Maranhao	22. Everson (G) 2. Natanael 16. Igor Rabello 14. Vitor Hugo 6. Alonso J. 8. Fausto Vera 44. Rubens 10. Gustavo Scarpa 33. Rony 7. Hulk (C) 28. Cuello
Substitutes
20. Bruno Cheron 32. Caua Tavares 2. Cristovam 5. Evanderson 6. Joao Felix 19. Julio Rodrigues 28. Lucas Bonifacio 25. Neto (G) 15. Parrudo 35. Pingo 33. Rhuan 11. Robertinho	11. Bernard 38. Caio Paulista 1. Gabriel Delfim (G) 17. Igor Gomes 19. Joao Marcelo 30. Palacios Alzate B. 20. Patrick Silva 26. Renzo Saravia 31. Robert (G) 23. Roman I. 47. Romulus 27. Ze Phelipe
Coaches
Jorge Castilho	Cuca

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 1 - 0, Maranhao ⚽, Raphinha (A),
18', Raphinha 🟨,
37', Maranhao 🟨,
44', 1 - 1, Igor Rabello ⚽, Gustavo Scarpa (A),
45+2', Igor Rabello 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Igor Rabello ↓, Romulus ↑,
46', Raphinha ↓, Lucas Bonifacio ↑,
51', 2 - 1, Fausto Vera (Own goal),
60', Vitor Hugo ↓, Caio Paulista ↑,
68', Fausto Vera ↓, Igor Gomes ↑,
69', Buga ↓, Evanderson ↑,
70', 2 - 2, Hulk ⚽, Cuello (A),
76', Alonso J. 🟨,
79', Rony ↓, Palacios Alzate B. ↑,
81', Ronald Carvalho ↓, Robertinho ↑,
86', Leo Ceara ↓, Rhuan ↑,
87', Moraes ↓, Bruno Cheron ↑,
90', Hulk 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Atlético MG could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Atlético MG is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Atlético Mineiro - the odds 1.69 are the expected chance of winning is 54.82%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maringá FC
Brazilian Serie C
26.04.25	Londrina - Maringá	1:1 ✺
20.04.25	Maringá - São Bernardo	1:0 ✺
13.04.25	Guarani - Maringá	2:3 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
29.03.25	Operário Ferroviario - Maringá	2:1 penalties ✺
22.03.25	Maringá - Operário Ferroviario	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 TWWLT
- Atlético Mineiro
Brazilian Serie A
26.04.25	Mirassol - Atlético Mineiro	2:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
23.04.25	Caracas - Atlético Mineiro	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
20.04.25	Atlético Mineiro - Botafogo RJ	1:0 ✺
16.04.25	Santos - Atlético Mineiro	2:0 ✺
13.04.25	Atlético Mineiro - Vitória Salvador	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TTWLT

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