Match Info

Serie C - Second stage - Round 3

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio Willie Davids (Maringá)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping


	Maringá		Botafogo PB

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.71	3.30	4.33
	1.72	3.2	4.3	Watch
	1.79	3.45	4.31
	1.78	3.47	4.58	Watch
	1.75	3.2	4.2
	1.74	3.25	4.42	Watch
	1.73	3.25	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.87)	3.3 ↑ (3.25)	4.35 ↑ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maringá
51.8%

Draw
27.4%

Botafogo PB
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.1%

27.7%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

27.3%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maringá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Botafogo PB has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maringá than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo PB than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Maringá - Botafogo PB Predictions

Users Predictions: Maringá will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Neto (G) 8. Adeilson 99. Caique Calito 7. Edison Negueba 18. Jhow Alecxander 28. Lucas Bonifacio 23. Paulinho 21. Ronald Camarao 30. Ronald Carvalho 6. Thiago Rosa 4. Wendel Lomar (C)	27. Luiz Daniel (G) 77. Bastos R. 2. Diogo Mateus 7. Dudu Hatamoto 14. Igor Morais 5. Jhonata Varela 15. Kayon 28. Lucas Candido 10. Nene (C) 6. Patric Calmon 3. Yan Souto
Substitutes
1. Affonso de Jesus G. (G) 20. Bruno Cheron 11. Danielzinho 3. Gabriel Santos 2. Gabriel Souza 10. Guilherme Pira 17. Iago Santana 44. Jesiel 19. Julio Rodrigues 5. Kelvi Gomes 77. Rafinha 37. Serginho	16. Bull 11. Diego Tavares 18. Giovanni 31. Gustavo 9. Henrique Dourado 33. Julio Vaz 21. Leandro Mathias (G) 22. Leo Pereira 35. Octavio 4. Saimon 20. Thallyson
Coaches
Campanari I.	Fernandes M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Diogo Mateus 🟨,
28', Jhonata Varela 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Lucas Candido ↓, Thallyson ↑,
46', Kayon ↓, Giovanni ↑,
49', 1 - 0, Igor Morais (Own goal),
52', Jhow Alecxander 🟨,
55', 🟨,
55', Giovanni ↓, Gustavo ↑,
59', Caique Calito ↓, Julio Rodrigues ↑,
59', Jhow Alecxander ↓, Gabriel Souza ↑,
64', Yan Souto 🟨,
65', Edison Negueba ↓, Guilherme Pira ↑,
70', Jhonata Varela ↓, Diego Tavares ↑,
77', Dudu Hatamoto ↓, Henrique Dourado ↑,
77', Adeilson ↓, Iago Santana ↑,
77', Paulinho ↓, Gabriel Santos ↑,
80', Wendel Lomar 🟨,
84', 2 - 0, Gabriel Santos ⚽,

Preview

Maringá is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Botafogo PB has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Maringá is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Maringá has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:3 (averaging 1:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Maringá against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals.

Outrights of Brazilian Serie C for now

Maringa FC: 6.99%

Last Results with these Odds

Maringá - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 48.06%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maringá FC
Brazilian Serie C
12.09.26	Maringá - Santa Cruz Recife	0:1 ✺
06.09.26	Floresta - Maringá	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Paysandu - Maringá	0:1 ✺
23.08.26	Maringá - Barra Santa Catarina	2:1 ✺
16.08.26	Confiança - Maringá	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LWWWT
- Botafogo PB
Brazilian Serie C
12.09.26	Botafogo PB - Floresta	0:1 ✺
06.09.26	Santa Cruz Recife - Botafogo PB	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Itabaiana - Botafogo PB	0:2 ✺
22.08.26	Botafogo PB - Guarani	3:1 ✺
15.08.26	Amazonas - Botafogo PB	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
30.05.26	Botafogo PB - Maringá	2:1
18.05.25	Maringá - Botafogo PB	1:1

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